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UFC Fight Night · April 26, 2025Final

Machado GarryvsPrates

14Bouts
10Agree
4Splits
1Locks
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates poster
Card complete. GPT 11/14 (79%)  ·  Claude 11/14 (79%)Results
The locksBoth models 75%+ on the same fighter
RedBlue Bar: model avg Market KO Sub Dec
Main card
01
Main cardFinal: Garry, U-DEC
Ian Machado GarryWINNER
Ian Machado
8-1UFC
27 yrs
VS
Welterweight
Carlos Prates
Carlos
3-1UFC
31 yrs
ClaudeGPT
68%GarryPrates32%
CLAUDE Ian Machado Garry 75% DecisionHIT
GPT Ian Machado Garry 60% DecisionHIT
Why
CLAUDEGarry's superior striking accuracy (55% vs 48%) and defensive metrics combined with his height/reach advantage will allow him to control distance and accumulate points. His recent competition level has been significantly higher, showing consistent improvement against ranked opponents.
GPTIan Machado Garry has a higher significant strike rate, better takedown accuracy and defense, and a strong upward trend in his recent fights. He also has a slight physical advantage with a higher height differential and reach differential.
Stats
02
Main cardFinal: Mingyang, KO/TKO Elbows
Anthony Smith
Anthony
13-11UFC
36 yrs
VS
Light Heavyweight
Zhang MingyangWINNER
Zhang
2-0UFC
26 yrs
Claude + GPT
33%SmithMingyang67%
CLAUDE Zhang Mingyang 70% KO/TKO, R2HIT
GPT Zhang Mingyang 65% KO/TKO, R2HIT
Why
CLAUDEZhang's significant striking volume (9.23 vs 3.24 SLPM) and power advantage, combined with Smith's declining durability and negative strike differential, creates a dangerous matchup for the veteran
GPTZhang Mingyang possesses superior striking volume and accuracy, along with a high effective strike rate. Although Anthony Smith has an advantage in grappling, his striking vulnerability might be exploited by Zhang. Furthermore, Smith's recent form shows a mixed trend, with losses outnumbering wins.
Stats
03
Main cardSPLITFinal: Onama, U-DEC
Giga Chikadze
Giga
8-2UFC
36 yrs14 mo out
VS
Featherweight
David OnamaWINNER
David
5-2UFC
30 yrs
ClaudeGPT
53%ChikadzeOnama47%
CLAUDE Giga Chikadze 65% DecisionMISS
GPT David Onama 60% KO/TKO, R3HIT
Why
CLAUDEChikadze's technical striking advantage and superior defensive metrics (61% vs 52%) will allow him to counter Onama's aggressive style. His experience against higher-ranked opponents and kick-heavy arsenal gives him the tactical edge.
GPTBased on historical performance and recent form, David Onama is predicted to win. Although Giga Chikadze has a higher defensive efficiency and striking accuracy, Onama has a higher strike volume and recent form trend. Onama's strike volume and recent trend of upward performance give him the edge in this fight.
Stats
04
Main cardSPLITFinal: Magomedov, U-DEC
Michel Pereira
Michel
9-3UFC
31 yrs
VS
Middleweight
Abus MagomedovWINNER
Abus
2-2UFC
34 yrs16 mo out
ClaudeGPT
45%PereiraMagomedov55%
CLAUDE Michel Pereira 65% KO/TKO, R2MISS
GPT Abus Magomedov 75% DecisionHIT
Why
CLAUDEPereira's higher strike volume (4.46 vs 2.88 SLPM) and dynamic striking arsenal matches well against Magomedov's more linear approach. While Magomedov has superior takedown accuracy (77% vs 52%), Pereira's 76% TDD should keep this fight standing where his creative striking and pressure gives him the advantage.
GPTMichel Pereira has a higher strike rate, but his defense is weaker than Abus Magomedov's. In addition, Magomedov has a superior takedown accuracy and defense, which could enable him to control the fight on the ground. Despite Pereira's recent mixed results, Magomedov has shown consistency in his performance. The physical advantages are mixed, with no significant edge to either fighter.
Stats
Prelims
05
PrelimsFinal: Brown, KO/TKO Punch
Randy BrownWINNER
Randy
13-6UFC
34 yrs
VS
Welterweight
Nicolas Dalby
Nicolas
9-4UFC
40 yrs15 mo out
Claude + GPT
68%BrownDalby32%
CLAUDE Randy Brown 70% DecisionHIT
GPT Randy Brown 65% KO/TKO, R3HIT
Why
CLAUDEBrown's superior reach control, higher striking accuracy (47% vs 43%), and better takedown defense (70% vs 58%) suggest he can maintain distance and win striking exchanges. Recent form shows improved fight IQ and striking defense.
GPTRandy Brown has been on a winning streak recently with a strong upward trend in his performance. He has a significant advantage in striking and a slight advantage in grappling. Despite Nicolas Dalby's experience and higher takedown average, Brown's striking volume and defense should give him the upper hand.
Stats
06
PrelimsSPLITFinal: Aliskerov, KO/TKO Punches
Ikram AliskerovWINNER
Ikram
2-1UFC
32 yrs15 mo out
VS
Middleweight
Andre Muniz
Andre
6-2UFC
35 yrs17 mo out
ClaudeGPT
48%AliskerovMuniz52%
CLAUDE Ikram Aliskerov 65% KO/TKO, R2HIT
GPT Andre Muniz 70% Submission, R2MISS
Why
CLAUDEAliskerov's significantly higher striking volume (7.03 vs 1.97 SLPM) and superior striking accuracy (60% vs 50%) should overwhelm Muniz's grappling-focused approach. Muniz's defensive vulnerabilities (54% defense) create KO opportunities.
GPTDespite Ikram Aliskerov's high striking volume, his defensive metrics are concerning, particularly his takedown defense which stands at 0%. Andre Muniz, on the other hand, has a significantly higher takedown average per fight and also a higher submission rate which could be decisive. Moreover, Muniz has a better recent form with a higher win rate.
Stats
07
PrelimsFinal: Schnell, U-DEC
Matt SchnellWINNER
Matt
7-7UFC
35 yrs13 mo out
VS
Flyweight
Jimmy Flick
Jimmy
2-3UFC
34 yrs15 mo out
ClaudeGPT
70%SchnellFlick30%
CLAUDE Matt Schnell 75% DecisionHIT
GPT Matt Schnell 65% DecisionHIT
Why
CLAUDESchnell's superior striking volume (4.39 vs 1.94 SLPM) and better defensive wrestling should neutralize Flick's submission-heavy game. Better striking defense (55% vs 43%) suggests ability to avoid danger while outpointing.
GPTDespite a recent downward trend in performance, Matt Schnell demonstrates a significant advantage in striking volume and defense over Jimmy Flick. While Flick has shown a higher submission rate per fight, Schnell's grappling defense of 50% could potentially neutralize this threat.
Stats
08
PrelimsFinal: Elder, U-DEC
Evan ElderWINNER
Evan
2-2UFC
28 yrs15 mo out
VS
Lightweight
Gauge Young
Gauge
24 yrs
ClaudeGPT
70%ElderYoung30%
CLAUDE Evan Elder 65% DecisionHIT
GPT Evan Elder 75% Submission, R3HIT
Why
CLAUDEElder's superior striking accuracy (49% vs 44%) and defensive metrics combined with his recent upward momentum give him a technical edge. His switch stance versatility and 2-inch reach advantage will help control distance against Young's orthodox style. Elder's proven durability and cardio advantage shown in recent fights suggest he can maintain a higher work rate.
GPTEvan Elder has a clear striking advantage, landing significantly more strikes per minute compared to Gauge Young. Elder also has a superior defensive efficiency and a recent upward trend in his fight form. Young's striking volume is lower and his differential is negative, indicating he absorbs more than he delivers. Despite Elder's grappling statistics being less impressive, his submission threat is still higher.
Stats
09
LOCKGutierrez
PrelimsFinal: Gutierrez, S-DEC
Chris GutierrezWINNER
Chris
10-3UFC
34 yrs14 mo out
VS
Featherweight
John Castaneda
John
4-3UFC
33 yrs16 mo out
Claude + GPT
78%GutierrezCastaneda22%
CLAUDE Chris Gutierrez 75% DecisionHIT
GPT Chris Gutierrez 80% DecisionHIT
Why
CLAUDEGutierrez's superior striking efficiency (+2.08 differential vs -0.55) and 64% defensive rate create a significant technical advantage. His leg kick-heavy style matches up well against Castaneda's switch stance approach, while his 71% takedown defense can neutralize Castaneda's wrestling attempts.
GPTChris Gutierrez shows clear advantages in striking volume, accuracy, and defense. His differential indicates he lands significantly more than he absorbs. Castaneda has a negative differential and lower defensive efficiency. Both fighters' grappling statistics are comparable, but Gutierrez's takedown defense is slightly superior. Despite the reach disadvantage, Gutierrez's superior striking skills should carry him through.
Stats
10
PrelimsFinal: Blackshear, U-DEC
Da'Mon BlackshearWINNER
Da'Mon
3-5UFC
30 yrs
VS
Bantamweight
Alatengheili
5-3UFC
33 yrs16 mo out
ClaudeGPT
33%BlackshearAlatengheili67%
CLAUDE Alatengheili 60% DecisionMISS
GPT Alatengheili 75% DecisionMISS
Why
CLAUDEDespite Blackshear's physical advantages, Alatengheili's superior defensive wrestling (75% TDD) and recent momentum favor him in a tactical fight. His more consistent striking defense and proven ability to control pace will be crucial against Blackshear's aggressive but sometimes wild approach.
GPTAlatengheili has a strong record in recent fights, with a win rate of 66.67% compared to Blackshear's 28.57%. Alatengheili's defense is better, with a StrDef of 57 compared to Blackshear's 48, and he also has a better takedown defense at 75% compared to Blackshear's 66%. Blackshear's recent form shows a downward trend and has lost his last three fights, whereas Alatengheili is on an upward trend and has won his last two fights.
Stats
11
PrelimsFinal: Wellmaker, KO/TKO Punch
Malcolm WellmakerWINNER
Malcolm
30 yrs
VS
Bantamweight
Cameron Saaiman
Cameron
3-2UFC
24 yrs13 mo out
Claude + GPT
65%WellmakerSaaiman35%
CLAUDE Malcolm Wellmaker 65% KO/TKO, R2HIT
GPT Malcolm Wellmaker 65% KO/TKO, R2HIT
Why
CLAUDEWellmaker's superior striking accuracy (66% vs 46%) and volume (8.05 vs 5.32 SLPM) combined with Saaiman's recent defensive vulnerabilities suggest a striking-heavy affair favoring Wellmaker
GPTMalcolm Wellmaker has a significant striking advantage, with high volume and accuracy. His reach advantage and switch stance may cause problems for Saaiman, who's recent form has been mixed.
Stats
12
PrelimsFinal: Amorim, SUB Rear Naked Choke
Jaqueline AmorimWINNER
Jaqueline
3-1UFC
29 yrs13 mo out
VS
Women's Strawweight
Polyana Viana
Polyana
4-6UFC
32 yrs15 mo out
Claude + GPT
73%AmorimViana27%
CLAUDE Jaqueline Amorim 75% Submission, R1HIT
GPT Jaqueline Amorim 70% Submission, R3HIT
Why
CLAUDEAmorim's superior grappling metrics (5.3 submissions per fight) and Viana's 38% takedown defense create a clear path to victory through ground exchanges
GPTAmorim has shown a strong upward trend in her recent fights, with multiple wins via submission. This coupled with her high submission average and Viana's poor takedown defense gives her the edge in this matchup.
Stats
13
PrelimsSPLITFinal: Cuamba, KO/TKO Flying Knee
Timmy CuambaWINNER
Timmy
0-2UFC
26 yrs15 mo out
VS
Featherweight
Roberto Romero
Roberto
25 yrs
ClaudeGPT
45%CuambaRomero55%
CLAUDE Timmy Cuamba 60% DecisionHIT
GPT Roberto Romero 70% KO/TKO, R2MISS
Why
CLAUDECuamba's superior defensive metrics (60% vs 43%) and more proven takedown game suggest ability to control fight location and pace
GPTDespite both fighters having a similar striking style, Romero is seen to have a higher volume of significant strikes per minute (SLPM) at 4.93 compared to Cuamba's 3. Romero also has a better striking accuracy at 47% compared to Cuamba's 40%. Although Cuamba's takedown defense at 71% is higher than Romero's 66%, this is less significant given their striking styles.
Stats
14
PrelimsFinal: Edwards, KO/TKO Punches
Chelsea Chandler
Chelsea
2-2UFC
34 yrs14 mo out
VS
Women's Bantamweight
Joselyne EdwardsWINNER
Joselyne
5-4UFC
29 yrs
Claude + GPT
35%ChandlerEdwards65%
CLAUDE Joselyne Edwards 65% DecisionHIT
GPT Joselyne Edwards 65% DecisionHIT
Why
CLAUDEEdwards holds significant advantages in striking volume (4.48 vs 3.53 SLPM) and accuracy (52% vs 45%), while demonstrating superior defensive metrics. Her takedown defense (61% vs 33%) should neutralize Chandler's wrestling attempts, allowing her to control distance and accumulate damage at range.
GPTJoselyne Edwards has a higher striking volume and accuracy as well as better defensive metrics. While Chandler has the takedown advantage, Edwards has a superior takedown defense which could neutralize Chandler's grappling edge. Recent form also favors Edwards who is on an upward trend.
Stats