May 31, 2025
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Card complete. GPT 4/6 (67%) · Claude 3/6 (50%)
All results
Both models agree 8 of 12 fights
Oban Elliott over Ramiz Brahimaj
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Zachary Reese over Dusko Todorovic
Claude 65%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Dustin Jacoby over Bruno Lopes
Claude 68%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Bolaji Oki over MarQuel Mederos
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Erin Blanchfield over Maycee Barber
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Macy Chiasson over Ketlen Vieira
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Billy Ray Goff over Seokhyeon Ko
Both call Decision
Claude 60%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Alice Ardelean over Rayanne dos Santos
Both call Decision
Claude 60%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Double locks: both at 75% or higher 1 fight
Oban Elliott over Ramiz Brahimaj
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Build your own list 8 match
Oban Elliott over Ramiz Brahimaj
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Zachary Reese over Dusko Todorovic
Claude 65%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Dustin Jacoby over Bruno Lopes
Claude 68%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Bolaji Oki over MarQuel Mederos
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Erin Blanchfield over Maycee Barber
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Macy Chiasson over Ketlen Vieira
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Billy Ray Goff over Seokhyeon Ko
Both call Decision
Claude 60%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Alice Ardelean over Rayanne dos Santos
Both call Decision
Claude 60%
GPT 65%
GPT 65%
Win confidence is the model's probability that its pick wins: 55 to 64 is a shrug, 65 to 74 is confident, 75 and up is the model betting its reputation.
KO/TKO, Submission, Decision is how the model splits the ways the fight ends, out of 100.
Odds are the sportsbook moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed, so the two percentages sum to 100. When a model's confidence beats the market's implied number, that gap is the value.
Elo is an opponent adjusted rating built from every UFC fight since 1994. Click any Elo number on the card for the full explanation, including what the star means.
Blanchfield LLWWW 210d out Barber WWWWW 447d out last 5
Erin Blanchfield last fought 210 days ago
L
vs win · 2024-11-02
L
vs Manon Fiorot · U-DEC2024-03-30
W
vs Taila Santos · U-DEC2023-08-26
W
vs Jessica Andrade · SUB2023-02-18
W
vs Molly McCann · SUB2022-11-12
Maycee Barber last fought 447 days ago
W
vs Katlyn Cerminara · U-DEC2024-03-09
W
vs Amanda Ribas · KO/TKO2023-06-24
W
vs Andrea Lee · S-DEC2023-03-25
W
vs Jessica Eye · U-DEC2022-07-02
W
vs Montana De La Rosa · U-DEC2022-04-23
Claude
Erin Blanchfield
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 10%
Submission 30%
Decision 60%
Blanchfield's superior grappling and submission threat will be the key differentiator in this matchup. While Barber has shown improved striking and is on a five-fight win streak, Blanchfield's wrestling credentials and ground control should neutralize Barber's striking advantage. Blanchfield's taked...
GPT
Erin Blanchfield
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 15%
Decision 65%
Blanchfield has a higher SLPM, better StrDef, and a higher TDDef, indicating she can potentially outscore Barber over the course of the fight. Her grappling stats are also higher which can help her control the fight and score points.
FINAL: Mateusz Gamrot by U-DEC
Gamrot LWWWL 447d out Klein WWWWL 420d out last 5
Mateusz Gamrot last fought 447 days ago
L
vs Dan Hooker · S-DEC2024-03-09
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · U-DEC2024-03-09
W
vs Rafael Fiziev · KO/TKO2023-09-23
W
vs Jalin Turner · S-DEC2023-03-04
L
vs Beneil Dariush · U-DEC2022-10-22
Ludovit Klein last fought 420 days ago
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · U-DEC2024-04-06
W
vs AJ Cunningham · KO/TKO2024-03-02
W
vs Thiago Moises · U-DEC2024-01-06
W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · U-DEC2023-08-05
L
vs Jai Herbert · M-DEC2023-03-18
Claude HIT
Mateusz Gamrot
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 25%
Decision 60%
Gamrot's wrestling pedigree and high-volume takedown approach (5.25 TDs per fight) will be the decisive factor against Klein. While Klein has impressive takedown defense (91%), Gamrot's persistence and chain wrestling should eventually break through. Klein's striking advantage (3.81 SLPM vs Gamrot's...
GPT MISS
Ludovit Klein
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 10%
Decision 70%
Klein's superior striking volume and accuracy, as well as his higher win rate, give him the edge in this matchup. Gamrot's advantage in takedowns is likely to be neutralized by Klein's excellent takedown defense. The fight is expected to go the distance, as both fighters have a low finish rate.
Goff L 531d out Ko last 5
Billy Ray Goff last fought 531 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Trey Waters · U-DEC2023-12-16
Seokhyeon Ko no UFC fights on record
Claude
Billy Ray Goff
60%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 5%
Decision 70%
Goff's overwhelming striking volume (8.56 SLPM vs Ko's 3.6) will be the determining factor in this welterweight clash. Despite both fighters having similar takedown averages (2.01 vs 2.0), Goff's perfect 100% takedown defense gives him a significant defensive edge against Ko's grappling attempts. Go...
GPT
Billy Ray Goff
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 0%
Decision 80%
Billy Ray Goff has a higher strike volume, better strike defense, and perfect takedown defense. While both fighters have similar styles, Billy Ray Goff's defensive capabilities and higher volume of strikes give him an edge in this matchup.
FINAL: Dustin Jacoby by KO/TKO Punch
Jacoby WLLWL 167d out Lopes W 139d out last 5
Dustin Jacoby last fought 167 days ago
W
vs Vitor Petrino · KO/TKO Punch2024-12-14
L
vs Dominick Reyes · KO/TKO2024-01-06
L
vs Alonzo Menifield · U-DEC2023-12-16
W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · KO/TKO2023-08-05
L
vs Azamat Murzakanov · U-DEC2023-04-15
Bruno Lopes last fought 139 days ago
W
vs Magomed Gadzhiyasulov · U-DEC2025-01-11
Claude HIT
Dustin Jacoby
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 62%
Submission 3%
Decision 35%
Jacoby brings significantly higher striking volume (5.5 SLPM vs Lopes' 3.69) and despite his recent skid, possesses the technical striking advantage. While both fighters prefer to stand, Jacoby's 2-inch reach advantage and more diverse kickboxing arsenal will be crucial. Lopes shows better defensive...
GPT HIT
Dustin Jacoby
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 5%
Decision 75%
Dustin Jacoby has a significant advantage in terms of striking volume and accuracy, which would allow him to outscore Bruno Lopes over the course of the fight. Bruno's 100% takedown defense would likely nullify Dustin's already limited ground game, making this a primarily stand-up battle where Dusti...
Reese WW 441d out Todorovic LWLWL 805d out last 5
Zachary Reese last fought 441 days ago
W
vs Jose Daniel Medina · U-DEC2024-03-16
W
vs Julian Marquez · KO/TKO2024-01-06
Dusko Todorovic last fought 805 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO2023-03-18
W
vs Jordan Wright · KO/TKO2022-10-15
L
vs Chidi Njokuani · KO/TKO2022-05-21
W
vs Maki Pitolo · KO/TKO2021-12-04
L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · U-DEC2021-06-05
Claude
Zachary Reese
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 15%
Decision 60%
Reese brings superior grappling credentials with a 55% takedown accuracy and 4.08 takedowns per fight against Todorovic's subpar 45% takedown defense. While Todorovic has slightly higher striking volume (5.54 vs 5.06), Reese's switch stance and 3-inch reach advantage will allow him to control distan...
GPT
Zachary Reese
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 60%
Decision 20%
Zachary Reese has a higher striking accuracy, significant takedown average and higher submission average than Dusko Todorovic. Despite Dusko's higher strike volume, Zachary's defensive efficiency and effective strike rate give him a clear advantage. The stylistic matchup also favors Zachary with a m...
FINAL: Allan Nascimento by U-DEC
Filho WWL 441d out Nascimento WWL 867d out last 5
Jafel Filho last fought 441 days ago
W
vs Ode Osbourne · SUB2024-03-16
W
vs Daniel Barez · SUB2023-07-22
L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · SUB2023-03-18
Allan Nascimento last fought 867 days ago, long layoff
W
vs Carlos Hernandez · SUB2023-01-14
W
vs Jake Hadley · U-DEC2022-05-14
L
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · S-DEC2021-10-30
Claude MISS
Jafel Filho
60%win confidence
KO/TKO 10%
Submission 55%
Decision 35%
This flyweight matchup features two Brazilian submission specialists with contrasting recent activity. Filho enters with momentum from two consecutive submission victories, while Nascimento hasn't competed since January 2023. Filho's superior submission rate (2.6 per fight vs 0.9) and more active gr...
GPT HIT
Allan Nascimento
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 10%
Decision 65%
Based on the statistical analysis, Allan Nascimento has a higher striking accuracy and volume compared to Jafel Filho. Although Jafel Filho has a higher submission average, Allan's superior striking game and defensive efficiency will likely carry him to a decision victory.
Wells LLWWW 475d out Gustafsson last 5
Jeremiah Wells last fought 475 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Max Griffin · S-DEC2024-02-10
L
vs Carlston Harris · SUB2023-08-05
W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · S-DEC2023-04-22
W
vs Court McGee · KO/TKO2022-06-18
W
vs Blood Diamond · SUB2022-02-12
Andreas Gustafsson no UFC fights on record
Claude
Jeremiah Wells
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 55%
Submission 15%
Decision 30%
Wells brings significant UFC experience advantage as Gustafsson makes his promotional debut. Despite Wells' recent two-fight skid, his explosive power and 80% takedown defense will be crucial against the debuting Gustafsson. While Gustafsson shows impressive striking accuracy (77%) and volume (4.56 ...
GPT
Andreas Gustafsson
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 30%
Submission 10%
Decision 60%
Gustafsson has a significant advantage in striking accuracy and volume, with a higher Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute (SLPM) rate and striking accuracy. While Wells has a good takedown defense, Gustafsson's takedown accuracy and average takedowns per fight are superior. The physical advantages...
FINAL: Ketlen Vieira by U-DEC
Vieira LWLWW 413d out Chiasson WWLWL 441d out last 5
Ketlen Vieira last fought 413 days ago
L
vs Kayla Harrison · U-DEC2024-04-13
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · U-DEC2023-07-22
L
vs Raquel Pennington · S-DEC2023-01-14
W
vs Holly Holm · S-DEC2022-05-21
W
vs Miesha Tate · U-DEC2021-11-20
Macy Chiasson last fought 441 days ago
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · SUB2024-03-16
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · KO/TKO2024-01-27
L
vs Irene Aldana · KO/TKO2022-09-10
W
vs Norma Dumont · S-DEC2022-05-07
L
vs Raquel Pennington · SUB2021-12-18
Claude MISS
Macy Chiasson
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 15%
Decision 60%
Chiasson enters this matchup with significant momentum, having won her last three fights including two finishes, while Vieira has struggled with consistency, dropping two of her last three. The statistical edge clearly favors Chiasson, who generates higher striking volume (3.77 vs 2.92 SLPM) with be...
GPT MISS
Macy Chiasson
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 10%
Decision 70%
Macy Chiasson has a higher significant strikes landed per minute (SLPM) and takedown average (TDAvg) compared to Ketlen Vieira. Although Vieira has a better takedown defense, Chiasson's higher volume of strikes and takedowns could win her the fight by decision.
Brahimaj LLWLW 195d out Elliott LWW 195d out last 5
Ramiz Brahimaj last fought 195 days ago
L
vs Mickey Gall · 2024-11-16
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · U-DEC2023-12-23
W
vs Micheal Gillmore · SUB2022-02-26
L
vs Court McGee · U-DEC2022-01-15
W
vs Sasha Palatnikov · SUB2021-08-21
Oban Elliott last fought 195 days ago
L
vs Bassil Hafez · 2024-11-16
W
vs Preston Parsons · U-DEC2024-02-17
W
vs Val Woodburn · U-DEC2024-02-17
Claude
Oban Elliott
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 10%
Decision 65%
Elliott holds significant advantages across key metrics that should prove decisive in this matchup. His striking differential (+1.58 vs -1.95) demonstrates superior offensive output and defensive awareness, landing more (3.82 vs 1.74 SLPM) while absorbing less (2.24 vs 3.69 SApM). Elliott's striking...
GPT
Oban Elliott
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 30%
Submission 20%
Decision 50%
Oban Elliott has shown superior striking and grappling statistics, with a significantly higher strike rate, accuracy, and defense. Moreover, his takedown accuracy and defense are also higher. Ramiz Brahimaj's ground control and effective strike rate are considerably lower, and his overall win rate i...
FINAL: Jordan Leavitt by SUB Anaconda Choke
Holobaugh LLWWL 77d out Leavitt LWLWW 559d out last 5
Kurt Holobaugh last fought 77 days ago
L
vs Alexander Hernandez · U-DEC2025-03-15
L
vs Trey Ogden · U-DEC2024-03-23
W
vs Kaynan Kruschewsky · U-DEC2024-02-10
W
vs Austin Hubbard · SUB2023-08-19
L
vs Thiago Moises · U-DEC2019-05-11
Jordan Leavitt last fought 559 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Chase Hooper · SUB2023-11-18
W
vs Victor Martinez · KO/TKO2023-02-25
L
vs Paddy Pimblett · SUB2022-07-23
W
vs Trey Ogden · S-DEC2022-04-16
W
vs Matt Sayles · SUB2021-12-18
Claude MISS
Kurt Holobaugh
60%win confidence
KO/TKO 30%
Submission 15%
Decision 55%
This matchup presents a classic striker vs. grappler dynamic that favors Holobaugh. His significantly higher striking volume (4.63 vs 2.55 SLPM) will be crucial against Leavitt's grappling-focused approach. While Leavitt has better striking accuracy (61% vs 45%), Holobaugh's volume advantage should ...
GPT HIT
Jordan Leavitt
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 50%
Decision 30%
Jordan Leavitt has a higher win rate, a higher striking defense, and more takedowns per fight. He also performs better against common opponents.
Mederos WW 63d out Oki LW 420d out last 5
MarQuel Mederos last fought 63 days ago
W
vs Austin Hubbard · S-DEC2025-03-29
W
vs Landon Quinones · U-DEC2024-02-03
Bolaji Oki last fought 420 days ago
L
vs Chris Duncan · SUB2024-04-06
W
vs Timmy Cuamba · S-DEC2024-02-10
Claude
Bolaji Oki
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 10%
Decision 75%
Oki brings a more diverse offensive arsenal with superior striking volume (5.63 vs 4.39 SLPM) and grappling credentials (2.11 TDAvg with 75% accuracy). While both fighters share identical striking accuracy (45%) and defense (63%), Oki's ability to mix in takedowns provides a crucial path to victory....
GPT
Bolaji Oki
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 30%
Submission 10%
Decision 60%
Bolaji Oki has a higher striking volume and takedown average, which could help him control the pace of the fight and score points. MarQuel Mederos's lack of takedown offense might be a disadvantage against Oki's strong takedown defense.
FINAL: Alice Ardelean by U-DEC
Santos LL 510d out Ardelean LL 399d out last 5
Rayanne dos Santos last fought 510 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Puja Tomar · S-DEC2024-01-06
L
vs Talita Alencar · S-DEC2023-12-09
Alice Ardelean last fought 399 days ago
L
vs Melissa Martinez · U-DEC2024-04-27
L
vs Shauna Bannon · S-DEC2024-02-17
Claude HIT
Alice Ardelean
60%win confidence
KO/TKO 10%
Submission 15%
Decision 75%
This matchup features two fighters on losing streaks with similar striking metrics but critical differences in grappling approach. Ardelean's superior takedown accuracy (40% vs 12%) and perfect takedown defense (100% vs 88%) provide a clear path to control positions. While dos Santos has a slight ed...
GPT HIT
Alice Ardelean
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 10%
Decision 70%
Alice Ardelean has a slight edge in striking accuracy and volume, which could make the difference in a fight that appears likely to go the distance. Although Rayanne dos Santos has a higher takedown defense, Ardelean's superior takedown accuracy and volume may allow her to control the fight's pace a...