October 4, 2025
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Card complete. Claude 9/13 (69%) · GPT 9/13 (69%)
All results
Both models agree 14 of 14 fights
Ateba Gautier over Ozzy Diaz
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 78%
GPT 78%
Veronica Hardy over Brogan Walker
Both call Decision
Claude 78%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Farid Basharat over Chris Gutierrez
Both call Decision
Claude 72%
GPT 74%
GPT 74%
Daniel Santos over JooSang Yoo
Both call Decision
Claude 68%
GPT 78%
GPT 78%
Merab Dvalishvili over Cory Sandhagen
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Jiri Prochazka over Khalil Rountree Jr.
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 70%
GPT 71%
GPT 71%
Joe Pyfer over Abus Magomedov
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 68%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Andre Muniz over Edmen Shahbazyan
Both call Submission
Claude 62%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Youssef Zalal over Josh Emmett
Both call Decision
Claude 68%
GPT 66%
GPT 66%
Punahele Soriano over Nikolay Veretennikov
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 72%
GPT 62%
GPT 62%
Alex Pereira over Magomed Ankalaev
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Macy Chiasson over Yana Santos
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Patchy Mix over Jakub Wiklacz
Claude 58%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Austin Vanderford over Ramiz Brahimaj
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Double locks: both at 75% or higher 2 fights
Ateba Gautier over Ozzy Diaz
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 78%
GPT 78%
Veronica Hardy over Brogan Walker
Both call Decision
Claude 78%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Build your own list 14 match
Ateba Gautier over Ozzy Diaz
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 78%
GPT 78%
Veronica Hardy over Brogan Walker
Both call Decision
Claude 78%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Farid Basharat over Chris Gutierrez
Both call Decision
Claude 72%
GPT 74%
GPT 74%
Daniel Santos over JooSang Yoo
Both call Decision
Claude 68%
GPT 78%
GPT 78%
Merab Dvalishvili over Cory Sandhagen
Both call Decision
Claude 75%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Jiri Prochazka over Khalil Rountree Jr.
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 70%
GPT 71%
GPT 71%
Joe Pyfer over Abus Magomedov
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 68%
GPT 70%
GPT 70%
Andre Muniz over Edmen Shahbazyan
Both call Submission
Claude 62%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Youssef Zalal over Josh Emmett
Both call Decision
Claude 68%
GPT 66%
GPT 66%
Punahele Soriano over Nikolay Veretennikov
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 72%
GPT 62%
GPT 62%
Alex Pereira over Magomed Ankalaev
Both call KO/TKO
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Macy Chiasson over Yana Santos
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Patchy Mix over Jakub Wiklacz
Claude 58%
GPT 75%
GPT 75%
Austin Vanderford over Ramiz Brahimaj
Both call Decision
Claude 65%
GPT 68%
GPT 68%
Win confidence is the model's probability that its pick wins: 55 to 64 is a shrug, 65 to 74 is confident, 75 and up is the model betting its reputation.
KO/TKO, Submission, Decision is how the model splits the ways the fight ends, out of 100.
Odds are the sportsbook moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed, so the two percentages sum to 100. When a model's confidence beats the market's implied number, that gap is the value.
Elo is an opponent adjusted rating built from every UFC fight since 1994. Click any Elo number on the card for the full explanation, including what the star means.
FINAL: Alex Pereira by KO/TKO Elbows
Ankalaev WWWLW 209d out Pereira LWWWW 209d out last 5
Magomed Ankalaev last fought 209 days ago
W
vs Alex Pereira · U-DEC2025-03-08
W
vs Johnny Walker · KO/TKO2024-01-13
W
vs Johnny Walker · CNC2023-10-21
L
vs Jan Blachowicz · S-DEC2022-12-10
W
vs Anthony Smith · KO/TKO2022-07-30
Alex Pereira last fought 209 days ago
L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · U-DEC2025-03-08
W
vs Jamahal Hill · KO/TKO2024-04-13
W
vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · KO/TKO2024-04-13
W
vs Jiri Prochazka · KO/TKO2024-01-27
W
vs Jiri Prochazka · KO/TKO2023-11-11
Claude HIT
Alex Pereira
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 55%
Submission 5%
Decision 40%
Pereira's superior striking volume (5.46 vs 3.64 SLPM) and knockout power give him the edge in this rematch. While Ankalaev has better takedown defense (86% vs 70%), his low takedown accuracy (31%) limits his ability to exploit Pereira's weaker ground game. Pereira's 4-inch reach advantage and perfe...
GPT HIT
Alex Pereira
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 65%
Submission 5%
Decision 30%
Alex Pereira's significant striking advantage, higher accuracy, and power give him an edge in a largely stand-up fight. Ankalaev's grappling could pose problems, but his wrestling output is low, and Pereira has shown improved takedown defense. Pereira's finishing ability and volume are key, especial...
FINAL: Merab Dvalishvili by U-DEC
Dvalishvili WWWWW 119d out Sandhagen WLWWW 154d out last 5
Merab Dvalishvili last fought 119 days ago
W
vs Sean O'Malley · SUB Guillotine Choke2025-06-07
W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · U-DEC2025-01-18
W
vs Sean O'Malley · U-DEC2024-03-30
W
vs Henry Cejudo · U-DEC2024-02-17
W
vs Petr Yan · U-DEC2023-03-11
Cory Sandhagen last fought 154 days ago
W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · KO/TKO2025-05-03
L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · U-DEC2024-02-24
W
vs Rob Font · U-DEC2023-08-05
W
vs Marlon Vera · S-DEC2023-03-25
W
vs Song Yadong · KO/TKO2022-09-17
Claude HIT
Merab Dvalishvili
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 10%
Decision 75%
Dvalishvili's relentless wrestling pressure (5.84 takedowns per fight) will overwhelm Sandhagen's inferior takedown defense (63%). Merab's superior cardio and 10-fight win streak demonstrate championship-level consistency. His victories over common opponents Yan and Moraes, compared to Sandhagen's l...
GPT HIT
Merab Dvalishvili
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 5%
Submission 10%
Decision 85%
Dvalishvili's relentless wrestling pace and elite takedown defense are likely to neutralize Sandhagen's striking volume. Merab's ability to control position and outwork opponents over five rounds is supported by his superior win rate and recent victories over high-level competition, including common...
FINAL: Jiri Prochazka by KO/TKO Punches
Prochazka WWLLW 258d out Jr. WLWWW 105d out last 5
Jiri Prochazka last fought 258 days ago
W
vs Jamahal Hill · KO/TKO Punches2025-01-18
W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · KO/TKO2024-04-13
L
vs Alex Pereira · KO/TKO2024-01-27
L
vs Alex Pereira · KO/TKO2023-11-11
W
vs Glover Teixeira · SUB2022-06-11
Khalil Rountree Jr. last fought 105 days ago
W
vs Jamahal Hill · U-DEC2025-06-21
L
vs Alex Pereira · KO/TKO2024-04-13
W
vs Anthony Smith · KO/TKO2023-12-09
W
vs Chris Daukaus · KO/TKO2023-08-12
W
vs Dustin Jacoby · S-DEC2022-10-29
Claude HIT
Jiri Prochazka
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 60%
Submission 15%
Decision 25%
Prochazka's significant advantages in volume (5.38 vs 3.73 SLPM), accuracy (55% vs 38%), and reach (4 inches) create a striking mismatch. His 60% takedown accuracy provides a grappling threat that Rountree (0 takedowns landed in UFC) cannot match. Both lost to Pereira by KO, but Prochazka's overall ...
GPT HIT
Jiri Prochazka
71%win confidence
KO/TKO 68%
Submission 5%
Decision 27%
Prochazka's higher striking volume (5.38 SLPM vs 3.73), superior striking accuracy (55% vs 38%), and greater finishing instincts give him an edge in a high-paced striking battle. While both fighters are defensively vulnerable, Prochazka's reach advantage (+4 inches) and experience at a higher level ...
FINAL: Youssef Zalal by SUB Armbar
Emmett LWLLW 182d out Zalal WLWWW 230d out last 5
Josh Emmett last fought 182 days ago
L
vs Lerone Murphy · U-DEC2025-04-05
W
vs Bryce Mitchell · KO/TKO2023-12-16
L
vs Ilia Topuria · U-DEC2023-06-24
L
vs Yair Rodriguez · SUB2023-02-11
W
vs Calvin Kattar · S-DEC2022-06-18
Youssef Zalal last fought 230 days ago
W
vs Calvin Kattar · U-DEC2025-02-15
L
vs win · 2024-11-02
W
vs Billy Quarantillo · SUB2024-03-23
W
vs Jarno Errens · SUB2024-03-02
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · M-DEC2022-08-13
Claude HIT
Youssef Zalal
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 35%
Decision 50%
Zalal's superior grappling (2.33 TD/fight vs 0.91, 1.4 sub/fight vs 0.1) and defensive striking (66% vs 61%) create a nightmare matchup for the aging Emmett. At 39, Emmett's explosiveness has diminished, and his recent submission loss to Bryce Mitchell exposed his ground game vulnerabilities. Zalal'...
GPT HIT
Youssef Zalal
66%win confidence
KO/TKO 16%
Submission 18%
Decision 66%
Zalal's superior striking accuracy, higher striking defense, and substantial grappling output are likely to neutralize Emmett's power. Emmett's declining defensive metrics and low takedown defense present openings for Zalal to implement a mixed-attack gameplan, control the tempo, and accumulate poin...
FINAL: Joe Pyfer by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Magomedov WWLLW 161d out Pyfer WLWWW 119d out last 5
Abus Magomedov last fought 161 days ago
W
vs Michel Pereira · U-DEC2025-04-26
W
vs Warlley Alves · U-DEC2023-12-23
L
vs Caio Borralho · U-DEC2023-11-04
L
vs Sean Strickland · KO/TKO2023-07-01
W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · KO/TKO2022-09-03
Joe Pyfer last fought 119 days ago
W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · U-DEC2025-06-07
L
vs Jack Hermansson · U-DEC2024-02-10
W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO2024-01-27
W
vs Abdul Razak Alhassan · SUB2023-10-07
W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · KO/TKO2023-04-08
Claude HIT
Joe Pyfer
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 52%
Submission 18%
Decision 30%
Pyfer's 83.3% win rate and superior finishing ability (3 KO/TKOs in last 5) contrasts sharply with Magomedov's recent decision-heavy approach. Magomedov absorbs 3.73 strikes per minute while landing only 2.88, creating a -0.85 differential that Pyfer can exploit with his 3.72 SLPM output. Magomedov'...
GPT HIT
Joe Pyfer
70%win confidence
KO/TKO 60%
Submission 15%
Decision 25%
Joe Pyfer brings a higher striking volume, better finishing rate, and a positive striking differential. Magomedov's negative strike differential and lower output make him vulnerable to Pyfer's power. Pyfer's submission threat adds another layer, and Magomedov's cardio and durability have been questi...
Gautier WW 77d out Diaz WL 209d out last 5
Ateba Gautier last fought 77 days ago
W
vs Robert Valentin · KO/TKO Punch2025-07-19
W
vs Jose Daniel Medina · KO/TKO Knee2025-03-29
Ozzy Diaz last fought 209 days ago
W
vs Djorden Santos · U-DEC2025-03-08
L
vs Zhang Mingyang · 2024-11-23
Claude
Ateba Gautier
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 35%
Submission 5%
Decision 60%
Gautier's striking metrics are overwhelmingly superior - 5.33 SLPM with 71% accuracy versus Diaz's 1.65 SLPM with just 32% accuracy. Diaz's -2.26 strike differential and 44% striking defense create a massive vulnerability. Gautier's 90% takedown defense neutralizes any grappling threat. Diaz is drop...
GPT
Ateba Gautier
78%win confidence
KO/TKO 18%
Submission 2%
Decision 80%
Gautier demonstrates superior striking accuracy (71% vs 32%), much higher output (5.33 SLPM vs 1.65), and absorbs significantly fewer strikes per minute (1.22 vs 3.91). His defensive metrics and takedown defense (90%) suggest Diaz will struggle to impose any grappling threat. Diaz's negative strikin...
FINAL: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO Elbows
Shahbazyan WWWLL 112d out Muniz LWLLW 161d out last 5
Edmen Shahbazyan last fought 112 days ago
W
vs Andre Petroski · U-DEC2025-06-14
W
vs Dylan Budka · KO/TKO Punch2025-02-15
W
vs AJ Dobson · KO/TKO2024-03-23
L
vs Gerald Meerschaert · SUB2024-03-16
L
vs Anthony Hernandez · KO/TKO2023-05-20
Andre Muniz last fought 161 days ago
L
vs Ikram Aliskerov · KO/TKO Punches2025-04-26
W
vs JunYong Park · S-DEC2023-12-09
L
vs Paul Craig · KO/TKO2023-07-22
L
vs Brendan Allen · SUB2023-02-25
W
vs Uriah Hall · U-DEC2022-07-02
Claude MISS
Andre Muniz
62%win confidence
KO/TKO 22%
Submission 48%
Decision 30%
Muniz's elite submission game (1.2 sub avg) directly exploits Shahbazyan's vulnerability - Edmen has lost 2 of his last 5 by submission. Muniz averages 4.23 takedowns per fight with 50% accuracy, while Shahbazyan defends only 65% of attempts. The southpaw stance gives Muniz angles for level changes....
GPT MISS
Andre Muniz
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 8%
Submission 62%
Decision 30%
Muniz holds a significant grappling advantage with over 4 takedowns per fight, 1.2 submissions per fight, and a 50% takedown accuracy. Shahbazyan has struggled defensively against strong grapplers, with only 65% takedown defense and a negative striking differential. Muniz's submission threat is pron...
FINAL: Farid Basharat by U-DEC
Gutierrez WWLWL 161d out Basharat WWW 629d out last 5
Chris Gutierrez last fought 161 days ago
W
vs John Castaneda · S-DEC2025-04-26
W
vs Quang Le · U-DEC2024-03-02
L
vs Song Yadong · U-DEC2023-12-09
W
vs Alatengheili · U-DEC2023-10-14
L
vs Pedro Munhoz · U-DEC2023-04-15
Farid Basharat last fought 629 days ago, long layoff
W
vs Taylor Lapilus · U-DEC2024-01-13
W
vs Kleydson Rodrigues · SUB2023-09-02
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · U-DEC2023-03-04
Claude HIT
Farid Basharat
72%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 25%
Decision 60%
Basharat's superior grappling metrics (3.96 takedowns per fight vs 0.26) and perfect UFC record indicate he can control this fight. While Gutierrez has better striking defense (64% vs 57%), Basharat's 4-inch reach advantage and wrestling-heavy approach should neutralize Gutierrez's leg kick game. Ba...
GPT HIT
Farid Basharat
74%win confidence
KO/TKO 11%
Submission 18%
Decision 71%
Basharat's multifaceted approach, featuring a high takedown average (3.96 per fight) and superior takedown defense (83%), matches well against Gutierrez's striking-oriented style. Gutierrez's strong striking defense and output will make him competitive on the feet, but Basharat's proven grappling an...
FINAL: Daniel Santos by KO/TKO Punch
Santos WWWL 147d out Yoo W 119d out last 5
Daniel Santos last fought 147 days ago
W
vs JeongYeong Lee · U-DEC2025-05-10
W
vs Johnny Munoz · U-DEC2023-06-03
W
vs John Castaneda · KO/TKO2022-10-01
L
vs Julio Arce · U-DEC2022-04-09
JooSang Yoo last fought 119 days ago
W
vs Jeka Saragih · KO/TKO Punch2025-06-07
Claude HIT
Daniel Santos
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 25%
Submission 15%
Decision 60%
Santos has significant UFC experience with established metrics while Yoo is making his debut with no UFC data. Santos' 50% takedown accuracy and 1.9 takedowns per fight suggest he can implement a wrestling-heavy gameplan. His recent form shows 2 wins in last 3 fights, including a KO finish. The lack...
GPT HIT
Daniel Santos
78%win confidence
KO/TKO 22%
Submission 10%
Decision 68%
Daniel Santos holds a clear statistical advantage in both striking and grappling, with measurable UFC experience and a high output. JooSang Yoo has no recorded UFC stats, indicating either a debut or minimal top-level experience. Santos' defensive liabilities are offset by his offensive volume and p...
FINAL: Yana Santos by U-DEC
Chiasson LWWLW 126d out Santos WWLLL 154d out last 5
Macy Chiasson last fought 126 days ago
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · U-DEC2025-05-31
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · SUB2024-03-16
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · KO/TKO2024-01-27
L
vs Irene Aldana · KO/TKO2022-09-10
W
vs Norma Dumont · S-DEC2022-05-07
Yana Santos last fought 154 days ago
W
vs Miesha Tate · U-DEC2025-05-03
W
vs Chelsea Chandler · U-DEC2024-03-02
L
vs Karol Rosa · S-DEC2023-07-01
L
vs Holly Holm · U-DEC2023-03-25
L
vs Irene Aldana · KO/TKO2021-07-10
Claude MISS
Macy Chiasson
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 30%
Submission 20%
Decision 50%
Chiasson's recent finishing streak (2 KO/TKOs, 1 submission in last 3 wins) shows improved killer instinct. Her 5-inch height and 4-inch reach advantages are significant at 135 pounds. While Santos has better striking volume (4.42 vs 3.77 SLPM), Chiasson's superior grappling (2.37 takedowns vs 0.97)...
GPT MISS
Macy Chiasson
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 10%
Submission 15%
Decision 75%
Chiasson's superior takedown offense (2.37 TD avg, 38% accuracy) and strong takedown defense (70%) should allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. While Santos is the more accurate and higher-volume striker, her takedown defense is a significant liability (42%), making her susceptible to Ch...
FINAL: Jakub Wiklacz by S-DEC
Mix L 119d out Wiklacz last 5
Patchy Mix last fought 119 days ago
L
vs Mario Bautista · U-DEC2025-06-07
Jakub Wiklacz no UFC fights on record
Claude MISS
Patchy Mix
58%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 25%
Decision 60%
This UFC debut matchup lacks statistical data, but Mix comes from Bellator as their former bantamweight champion with strong wrestling credentials. Wiklacz is making his promotional debut with limited available data. Mix's southpaw stance creates awkward angles against Wiklacz's orthodox stance. Giv...
GPT MISS
Patchy Mix
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 5%
Submission 60%
Decision 35%
Patchy Mix is widely recognized as one of the top bantamweight grapplers, with a proven submission game at the highest levels of MMA. Despite limited statistical data here, Mix's recent run in Bellator showcased elite back-taking, control, and finishing instincts. Wiklacz is a highly skilled and wel...
FINAL: Punahele Soriano by U-DEC
Soriano WWLLW 265d out Veretennikov WLL 77d out last 5
Punahele Soriano last fought 265 days ago
W
vs Uros Medic · KO/TKO Punch2025-01-11
W
vs Miguel Baeza · U-DEC2024-01-06
L
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · SUB2023-12-02
L
vs Roman Kopylov · KO/TKO2023-01-14
W
vs Dalcha Lungiambula · KO/TKO2022-07-16
Nikolay Veretennikov last fought 77 days ago
W
vs Francisco Prado · S-DEC2025-07-19
L
vs Austin Vanderford · KO/TKO Punches2025-02-22
L
vs Danny Barlow · S-DEC2024-03-02
Claude HIT
Punahele Soriano
72%win confidence
KO/TKO 45%
Submission 10%
Decision 45%
Soriano holds significant advantages in multiple areas despite giving up 2 inches in height and 3 inches in reach. His 4.89 SLPM vastly outpaces Veretennikov's 3.4, while maintaining better striking accuracy (53% vs 59%). Crucially, Soriano has shown finishing ability with a recent KO win and brings...
GPT HIT
Punahele Soriano
62%win confidence
KO/TKO 54%
Submission 6%
Decision 40%
Soriano's higher striking volume, superior power, and aggressive pace could break through Veretennikov's defense. While Veretennikov is more accurate and defensively sound, he lacks offensive output and finishing threat, and his takedown defense, though above average, may not deter Soriano's occasio...
FINAL: Ramiz Brahimaj by SUB Guillotine Choke
Brahimaj LLWLW 321d out Vanderford W 223d out last 5
Ramiz Brahimaj last fought 321 days ago
L
vs Mickey Gall · 2024-11-16
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · U-DEC2023-12-23
W
vs Micheal Gillmore · SUB2022-02-26
L
vs Court McGee · U-DEC2022-01-15
W
vs Sasha Palatnikov · SUB2021-08-21
Austin Vanderford last fought 223 days ago
W
vs Nikolay Veretennikov · KO/TKO Punches2025-02-22
Claude MISS
Austin Vanderford
65%win confidence
KO/TKO 20%
Submission 25%
Decision 55%
Vanderford enters with superior striking metrics across the board - better accuracy (52% vs 41%), higher volume (3.9 vs 1.74 SLPM), and perfect takedown defense (100%). Brahimaj is on a brutal 4-fight losing streak with consistency issues. While Brahimaj averages 1.6 submissions per fight, Vanderfor...
GPT MISS
Austin Vanderford
68%win confidence
KO/TKO 18%
Submission 22%
Decision 60%
Vanderford has a significant edge in striking output (3.9 SLPM vs. 1.74 for Brahimaj) and striking accuracy (52% vs. 41%), though both absorb more than they land. Vanderford's takedown defense (100%) should nullify Brahimaj's grappling entries, forcing exchanges where Vanderford's volume and accurac...
FINAL: Veronica Hardy by U-DEC
Hardy WWWWL 321d out Walker LL 896d out last 5
Veronica Hardy last fought 321 days ago
W
vs Eduarda Moura · 2024-11-16
W
vs JJ Aldrich · U-DEC2023-12-16
W
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · S-DEC2023-12-02
W
vs Juliana Miller · U-DEC2023-03-18
L
vs Bea Malecki · U-DEC2020-03-14
Brogan Walker last fought 896 days ago, long layoff
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · U-DEC2023-04-22
L
vs Juliana Miller · KO/TKO2022-08-06
Claude HIT
Veronica Hardy
78%win confidence
KO/TKO 15%
Submission 12%
Decision 73%
Hardy's superior form (5-fight win streak vs Walker's 2-fight losing streak) combined with her grappling advantage creates a clear path to victory. Walker's 11% takedown defense is catastrophic against Hardy's 1.08 takedowns per fight. Hardy's southpaw stance against Walker's switch stance, coupled ...
GPT HIT
Veronica Hardy
75%win confidence
KO/TKO 10%
Submission 15%
Decision 75%
Veronica Hardy holds statistical advantages in striking accuracy, output, and grappling. Her takedown defense and offensive wrestling are superior, and her performance against common opponents is notably better. Brogan Walker's low striking volume, poor takedown defense (11%), and negative strike di...