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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. ZhangMiddleweightPrelims
Michel Pereira
Michel
Pereira
9-4UFC
31 yrsElo 1553
VS
Kyle DaukausWINNER
Kyle
Daukaus
2-5UFC
32 yrsElo 1491
Final: Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO Elbows
Who wins
Claude
56%
Pereira
GPT
68%
Pereira
Elo
59%
Pereira
1553 vs 1491
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'1" Height 6'3"
73" Reach 76"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
4.46 Landed / min 3.16
4.23 Absorbed / minlower better 2.94
53% Strike accuracy 53%
52% Strike defense 42%
1.27 Takedowns / 15 1.97
52% TD accuracy 25%
76% TD defense 79%
0.8 Subs / 15 2.0
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 12%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 18%Submission 12%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Michel Pereira119 days out
L
Abus Magomedov
U-DEC · 2025-04-26
L
Anthony Hernandez
KO/TKO · 2024-04-27
W
Michal Oleksiejczuk
SUB · 2024-03-09
W
Ihor Potieria
SUB · 2023-12-09
W
Andre Petroski
KO/TKO · 2023-10-14
Kyle Daukaus993 days out
L
Eryk Anders
KO/TKO · 2022-12-03
L
Roman Dolidze
KO/TKO · 2022-06-18
W
Jamie Pickett
SUB · 2022-02-19
L
Kevin Holland
Overturned · 2021-10-02
L
Phil Hawes
U-DEC · 2021-05-08
Why
Claude
Michel Pereira
56% · Decision
  • Limited analysis due to API overload
  • Basic statistical comparison applied
  • Conservative confidence rating used
Write-up

Simplified prediction due to API limitations. Basic statistical comparison used.

GPT
Michel Pereira
68% · Decision
  • Pereira's striking volume and accuracy edge
  • Pereira's 76% takedown defense vs. Daukaus's 25% takedown accuracy
  • Daukaus's lower striking defense and win rate
Write-up

Pereira's superior striking accuracy, volume, and defensive metrics give him an advantage in a likely standup-heavy fight. Daukaus presents a significant submission threat, but his low takedown accuracy and Pereira's strong takedown defense reduce his chances of controlling the fight on the ground. Pereira's dynamic striking and ability to avoid extended grappling exchanges favor him over three rounds.