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Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas

Flyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

FINAL: Sumudaerji by U-DEC
Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji
Age 29 · Elo 1535
WLLLW
133 days since last fight
vs
Kevin Borjas
Kevin Borjas
Age 27 · Elo 1442
WLL
147 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

SumudaerjiKevin Borjas
GPT GPT: Sumudaerji 74% GPT: Kevin Borjas 26% 74% 26% Elo Elo: Sumudaerji 63% Elo: Kevin Borjas 37% 63% 37%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

SumudaerjiKevin Borjas
Strikes landed / min Sumudaerji Strikes landed / min: 4.40 4.40 Kevin Borjas Strikes landed / min: 3.87 3.87 Strikes absorbed / min Sumudaerji Strikes absorbed / min: 2.29 2.29 Kevin Borjas Strikes absorbed / min: 5.27 5.27 Striking accuracy Sumudaerji Striking accuracy: 50% 50% Kevin Borjas Striking accuracy: 42% 42% Striking defense Sumudaerji Striking defense: 63% 63% Kevin Borjas Striking defense: 50% 50% Takedowns / 15 min Sumudaerji Takedowns / 15 min: 0.76 0.76 Kevin Borjas Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Sumudaerji Takedown defense: 73% 73% Kevin Borjas Takedown defense: 72% 72% Sub attempts / 15 min Sumudaerji Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5 Kevin Borjas Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Sumudaerji by Decision, 74% confidence

Sumudaerji holds a significant edge in striking accuracy, strike differential, and defensive metrics. He absorbs far fewer strikes than Borjas and lands at a higher accuracy rate. Borjas' defensive liabilities, high strikes absorbed per minute, and lack of grappling or submission threat make it likely he will be outpointed over three rounds. While neither fighter has strong finishing rates at this level, Sumudaerji's superior technical striking and defense should secure him a clear decision.