Lightweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
FINAL: Gauge Young by U-DEC
Maheshate
Age 25 · Elo 1505
WWLLW
272 days since last fight
vs
Gauge Young
Age 25 · Elo 1503*
L
119 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
MaheshateGauge Young
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
MaheshateGauge Young
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Gauge Young by Decision, 69.185% confidence
Simplified prediction due to API limitations. Basic statistical comparison used.
GPT
Gauge Young by Decision, 65% confidence
Gauge Young enters with a significant striking accuracy advantage (56% vs 28%) and higher output (4.27 SLpM). Both fighters are defensively vulnerable, absorbing over 5 strikes per minute, but Young's accuracy and volume should allow him to outpoint Maheshate in a likely striking battle, given neither attempts takedowns. Maheshate's physical advantages are minor and unlikely to offset the technical disparity in striking.