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UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. ZhangFlyweightPrelims
Charles JohnsonWINNER
Charles
Johnson
6-5UFC
34 yrsElo 1529
VS
Lone'er Kavanagh
Lone'er
Kavanagh
2-0UFC
26 yrsElo 1539*
Final: Charles Johnson by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
63%
Kavanagh
GPT
63%
Kavanagh
Elo
51%
Kavanagh
1529 vs 1539
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9" Height 5'4"
70" Reach 67"
Switch Stance Orthodox
4.54 Landed / min 4.97
3.88 Absorbed / minlower better 4.14
49% Strike accuracy 66%
55% Strike defense 62%
0.47 Takedowns / 15 n/a
16% TD accuracy 0%
66% TD defense 0%
0.4 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Lone'er Kavanagh, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 16%GPT: Submission 2%GPT: Decision 82%
82%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 16%Submission 2%Decision 82%
Formnewest first
Charles Johnson174 days out
L
Ramazan Temirov
U-DEC · 2025-03-01
W
Sumudaerji
U-DEC · 2024-04-27
W
Azat Maksum
U-DEC · 2024-02-03
W
Joshua Van
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Jake Hadley
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
Lone'er Kavanagh154 days out
W
Felipe dos Santos
U-DEC · 2025-03-22
W
Jose Ochoa
· 2024-11-23
Why
Claude
Lone'er Kavanagh
63% · Decision
  • Limited analysis due to API overload
  • Basic statistical comparison applied
  • Conservative confidence rating used
Write-up

Simplified prediction due to API limitations. Basic statistical comparison used.

GPT
Lone'er Kavanagh
63% · Decision
  • Kavanagh's 66% striking accuracy with higher output
  • Johnson's low takedown threat and accuracy
  • Both fighters' lack of grappling and submission activity
Write-up

Kavanagh's superior striking accuracy (66%) and higher strike output (4.97 SLpM) give him an edge in a likely standup battle, especially since neither fighter is a significant grappling threat. Johnson is more defensively sound and has some wrestling ability, but his low takedown accuracy (23%) and Kavanagh's high striking efficiency suggest the fight will favor Kavanagh's pace and precision over three rounds.