Lightweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
FINAL: Rongzhu by U-DEC
Rongzhu
Age 25 · Elo 1505
WLLWL
195 days since last fight
vs
Austin Hubbard
Age 33 · Elo 1452
LWLLL
147 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
RongzhuAustin Hubbard
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
RongzhuAustin Hubbard
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Rongzhu by Decision, 59.665000000000006% confidence
Simplified prediction due to API limitations. Basic statistical comparison used.
GPT
Austin Hubbard by Decision, 65% confidence
Hubbard's superior striking defense and more favorable strike differential suggest he will absorb less damage while maintaining competitive output. Rongzhu is more aggressive but absorbs more strikes than he lands, and Hubbard's takedown defense should limit Rongzhu's wrestling success. Both have low finishing rates, making a decision outcome likely.