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Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho

Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

FINAL: Malcolm Wellmaker by KO/TKO Punch
Malcolm Wellmaker
Malcolm Wellmaker
Age 31 · Elo 1545*
W
49 days since last fight
vs
Kris Moutinho
Kris Moutinho
Age 32 · Elo 1436*
LL
1189 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Malcolm WellmakerKris Moutinho
GPT GPT: Malcolm Wellmaker 75% GPT: Kris Moutinho 25% 75% 25% Elo Elo: Malcolm Wellmaker 65% Elo: Kris Moutinho 35% 65% 35%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Malcolm WellmakerKris Moutinho
Strikes landed / min Malcolm Wellmaker Strikes landed / min: 8.05 8.05 Kris Moutinho Strikes landed / min: 4.86 4.86 Strikes absorbed / min Malcolm Wellmaker Strikes absorbed / min: 7.65 7.65 Kris Moutinho Strikes absorbed / min: 15.48 15.48 Striking accuracy Malcolm Wellmaker Striking accuracy: 66% 66% Kris Moutinho Striking accuracy: 32% 32% Striking defense Malcolm Wellmaker Striking defense: 54% 54% Kris Moutinho Striking defense: 28% 28% Takedowns / 15 min Malcolm Wellmaker Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Kris Moutinho Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Malcolm Wellmaker Takedown defense: 100% 100% Kris Moutinho Takedown defense: 0% 0% Sub attempts / 15 min Malcolm Wellmaker Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Kris Moutinho Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 60% 60% GPT: Submission 0% GPT: Decision 40% 40%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Malcolm Wellmaker by KO/TKO, 75% confidence

Malcolm Wellmaker's significant advantage in striking metrics and defensive efficiency indicates a higher likelihood of him controlling the stand-up game and potentially scoring a knockout.