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Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Women's Flyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

FINAL: Jamey-Lyn Horth by U-DEC
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Age 35 · Elo 1495
LLLW
181 days since last fight
vs
Vanessa Demopoulos
Vanessa Demopoulos
Age 36 · Elo 1502
LLWWL
70 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Jamey-Lyn HorthVanessa Demopoulos
GPT GPT: Jamey-Lyn Horth 65% GPT: Vanessa Demopoulos 35% 65% 35% Elo Elo: Jamey-Lyn Horth 49% Elo: Vanessa Demopoulos 51% 49% 51%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Jamey-Lyn HorthVanessa Demopoulos
Strikes landed / min Jamey-Lyn Horth Strikes landed / min: 3.80 3.80 Vanessa Demopoulos Strikes landed / min: 3.87 3.87 Strikes absorbed / min Jamey-Lyn Horth Strikes absorbed / min: 2.64 2.64 Vanessa Demopoulos Strikes absorbed / min: 5.53 5.53 Striking accuracy Jamey-Lyn Horth Striking accuracy: 47% 47% Vanessa Demopoulos Striking accuracy: 41% 41% Striking defense Jamey-Lyn Horth Striking defense: 63% 63% Vanessa Demopoulos Striking defense: 41% 41% Takedowns / 15 min Jamey-Lyn Horth Takedowns / 15 min: 0.98 0.98 Vanessa Demopoulos Takedowns / 15 min: 0.41 0.41 Takedown defense Jamey-Lyn Horth Takedown defense: 80% 80% Vanessa Demopoulos Takedown defense: 27% 27% Sub attempts / 15 min Jamey-Lyn Horth Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Vanessa Demopoulos Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 20% 20% GPT: Submission 10% 10% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Jamey-Lyn Horth by Decision, 65% confidence

Jamey-Lyn Horth has superior striking accuracy and defense, as well as a higher takedown defense. Despite Vanessa's higher striking volume, her lower accuracy and defense may not be enough to secure the win.