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Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Mansur Abdul-Malik
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Age 27 · Elo 1505*
WL
111 days since last fight
vs
Cody Brundage
Cody Brundage
Age 31 · Elo 1464
WLLWW
104 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Mansur Abdul-MalikCody Brundage
GPT GPT: Mansur Abdul-Malik 60% GPT: Cody Brundage 40% 60% 40% Elo Elo: Mansur Abdul-Malik 56% Elo: Cody Brundage 44% 56% 44%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Mansur Abdul-MalikCody Brundage
Strikes landed / min Mansur Abdul-Malik Strikes landed / min: 3.28 3.28 Cody Brundage Strikes landed / min: 2.50 2.50 Strikes absorbed / min Mansur Abdul-Malik Strikes absorbed / min: 4.49 4.49 Cody Brundage Strikes absorbed / min: 2.95 2.95 Striking accuracy Mansur Abdul-Malik Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Cody Brundage Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Striking defense Mansur Abdul-Malik Striking defense: 46% 46% Cody Brundage Striking defense: 50% 50% Takedowns / 15 min Mansur Abdul-Malik Takedowns / 15 min: 1.65 1.65 Cody Brundage Takedowns / 15 min: 1.80 1.80 Takedown defense Mansur Abdul-Malik Takedown defense: 83% 83% Cody Brundage Takedown defense: 66% 66% Sub attempts / 15 min Mansur Abdul-Malik Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3 Cody Brundage Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 45% 45% GPT: Submission 15% 15% GPT: Decision 40% 40%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Mansur Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, 60% confidence

Mansur Abdul-Malik has a superior striking game, with a significantly higher Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute (SLPM) and a better striking defense. The striking differential also favors Abdul-Malik.