Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Ricky Simon
Age 32 · Elo 1554
WLLLW
111 days since last fight
vs
Charles Jourdain
Age 29 · Elo 1537
LLLWW
224 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Ricky SimonCharles Jourdain
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Ricky SimonCharles Jourdain
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Ricky Simon by Decision, 65% confidence
Ricky Simon has a significant advantage in takedowns and takedown defense, which could negate Jourdain's striking volume. Although Jourdain has a higher SLPM, his takedown defense is significantly lower than Simon's takedown average. This could allow Simon to control the fight and potentially win by decision.