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Alonzo Menifield vs Oumar Sy

Light Heavyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

FINAL: Alonzo Menifield by U-DEC
Alonzo Menifield
Alonzo Menifield
Age 37 · Elo 1562
WLWLW
111 days since last fight
vs
Oumar Sy
Oumar Sy
Age 29 · Elo 1520
WW
434 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Alonzo MenifieldOumar Sy
GPT GPT: Alonzo Menifield 25% GPT: Oumar Sy 75% 25% 75% Elo Elo: Alonzo Menifield 56% Elo: Oumar Sy 44% 56% 44%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Alonzo MenifieldOumar Sy
Strikes landed / min Alonzo Menifield Strikes landed / min: 3.84 3.84 Oumar Sy Strikes landed / min: 3.41 3.41 Strikes absorbed / min Alonzo Menifield Strikes absorbed / min: 3.81 3.81 Oumar Sy Strikes absorbed / min: 1.87 1.87 Striking accuracy Alonzo Menifield Striking accuracy: 53% 53% Oumar Sy Striking accuracy: 48% 48% Striking defense Alonzo Menifield Striking defense: 51% 51% Oumar Sy Striking defense: 66% 66% Takedowns / 15 min Alonzo Menifield Takedowns / 15 min: 0.48 0.48 Oumar Sy Takedowns / 15 min: 2.45 2.45 Takedown defense Alonzo Menifield Takedown defense: 78% 78% Oumar Sy Takedown defense: 66% 66% Sub attempts / 15 min Alonzo Menifield Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Oumar Sy Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 25% 25% GPT: Submission 15% 15% GPT: Decision 60% 60%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Oumar Sy by Decision, 75% confidence

Oumar Sy has superior striking volume and accuracy, significantly better strike defense, and a superior takedown average. Menifield's takedown defense is decent but may not hold up against Sy's takedown volume. Reach advantage also favors Sy.