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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesWomen's BantamweightPrelims
Michelle
Montague
VS
Luana
Carolina
6-3UFC
Final: Michelle Montague by U-DEC
Who wins
Montague winsevenCarolina wins
Claude 82% Carolina
GPT 75% Carolina
Elo 53% Montague
Claude
82%
Carolina
GPT
75%
Carolina
Elo
53%
Montague
1539 vs 1516
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
n/a
Height
5'6"
n/a
Reach
69"
n/a
Stance
Orthodox
n/a
Landed / min
4.81
n/a
Absorbed / minlower better
3.54
0%
Strike accuracy
50%
0%
Strike defense
50%
n/a
Takedowns / 15
0.34
0%
TD accuracy
37%
0%
TD defense
74%
n/a
Subs / 15
0.6
Small sample: Michelle Montague, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 28%Submission 17%Decision 55%
80%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 12%Submission 8%Decision 80%
Formnewest first
Michelle Montague
No UFC fights
Luana Carolina594 days out
W
Lucie Pudilova
U-DEC · 2024-02-10
W
Julija Stoliarenko
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Ivana Petrovic
U-DEC · 2023-07-01
L
Joanne Wood
S-DEC · 2023-03-18
L
Molly McCann
KO/TKO · 2022-03-19
Why
Claude
Luana Carolina
82% · Decision
- Carolina on 4-fight win streak with recent KO, showing improved finishing ability
- Montague has zero UFC stats or recorded fights - complete unknown
- Carolina's 69-inch reach and established striking volume vs unknown opponent
- Weight class jump for Carolina from flyweight gives her size advantage
Write-up
Carolina brings extensive UFC experience with a 70% win rate and is on a 4-fight win streak including a recent KO. Montague is making her UFC debut with no recorded stats or fight history in the database. Carolina's proven striking (4.81 SLPM, 50% accuracy) and grappling (0.6 sub avg) against an unknown commodity makes this a clear mismatch. The 10-pound weight advantage for Carolina at bantamweight is also significant.
GPT
Luana Carolina
75% · Decision
- Significant UFC experience and proven durability for Carolina
- High striking volume (4.81 SLpM) and accuracy (50%)
- Strong takedown defense (74%) limiting Montague's potential grappling advantage
Write-up
Luana Carolina has a clear statistical advantage in UFC experience, striking output, accuracy, and defensive metrics. Montague is making her UFC debut with no available data, putting her at a significant disadvantage against a proven, durable opponent with effective takedown defense and high striking volume.