Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Mullarkey's superior grappling credentials (2.31 TDAvg, 78% TDD) against Bedoya's poor 33% takedown defense creates a clear path to victory. While Bedoya has higher striking volume (7.29 SLPM), Mullarkey's wrestling-heavy approach should neutralize this advantage. Bedoya is on a 4-fight losing streak with poor defensive metrics, while Mullarkey showed he can grind out decisions even after recent KO losses.

Mullarkey's grappling advantage and strong takedown defense (78%) give him clear pathways to neutralize Bedoya's high-volume striking. Bedoya's weak takedown defense (33%) and lack of proven grappling make him susceptible to being controlled or outscored on the ground. While Bedoya's offensive output is higher, Mullarkey's more measured striking and wrestling versatility should allow him to dictate exchanges and win rounds.