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Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras

Featherweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

FINAL: Jack Jenkins by U-DEC
Jack Jenkins
Jack Jenkins
Age 31 · Elo 1510
LWLWW
230 days since last fight
vs
Ramon Taveras
Ramon Taveras
Age 31 · Elo 1480*
LW
286 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Jack JenkinsRamon Taveras
Claude Claude: Jack Jenkins 76% Claude: Ramon Taveras 24% 76% 24% GPT GPT: Jack Jenkins 72% GPT: Ramon Taveras 28% 72% 28% Elo Elo: Jack Jenkins 54% Elo: Ramon Taveras 46% 54% 46%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Jack JenkinsRamon Taveras
Strikes landed / min Jack Jenkins Strikes landed / min: 4.48 4.48 Ramon Taveras Strikes landed / min: 4.63 4.63 Strikes absorbed / min Jack Jenkins Strikes absorbed / min: 2.95 2.95 Ramon Taveras Strikes absorbed / min: 5.41 5.41 Striking accuracy Jack Jenkins Striking accuracy: 61% 61% Ramon Taveras Striking accuracy: 45% 45% Striking defense Jack Jenkins Striking defense: 59% 59% Ramon Taveras Striking defense: 65% 65% Takedowns / 15 min Jack Jenkins Takedowns / 15 min: 1.98 1.98 Ramon Taveras Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Jack Jenkins Takedown defense: 71% 71% Ramon Taveras Takedown defense: 100% 100% Sub attempts / 15 min Jack Jenkins Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Ramon Taveras Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 30% 30% Claude: Submission 15% 15% Claude: Decision 55% 55%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 5% GPT: Decision 77% 77%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Jack Jenkins by Decision, 76% confidence

Jenkins' well-rounded game (2.12 takedowns per fight, 69% accuracy) and superior striking accuracy (60% vs 45%) give him multiple paths to victory. Taveras is moving up from bantamweight and has only 1 UFC fight. Jenkins' 80% win rate and 4-1 recent record show consistency. His wrestling threat will neutralize Taveras' striking and allow Jenkins to dictate pace and position.

GPT
Jack Jenkins by Decision, 72% confidence

Jenkins displays superior striking accuracy, a significant positive strike differential, and a proven ability to mix in takedowns with high efficiency. Taveras is defensively sound on the feet but absorbs more strikes than he lands and has not demonstrated offensive grappling. Jenkins' well-roundedness and ability to control the fight's tempo give him the edge over three rounds.