Featherweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
FINAL: Jack Jenkins by U-DEC
Jack Jenkins
Age 31 · Elo 1510
LWLWW
230 days since last fight
vs
Ramon Taveras
Age 31 · Elo 1480*
LW
286 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Jack JenkinsRamon Taveras
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Jack JenkinsRamon Taveras
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Jack Jenkins by Decision, 76% confidence
Jenkins' well-rounded game (2.12 takedowns per fight, 69% accuracy) and superior striking accuracy (60% vs 45%) give him multiple paths to victory. Taveras is moving up from bantamweight and has only 1 UFC fight. Jenkins' 80% win rate and 4-1 recent record show consistency. His wrestling threat will neutralize Taveras' striking and allow Jenkins to dictate pace and position.
GPT
Jack Jenkins by Decision, 72% confidence
Jenkins displays superior striking accuracy, a significant positive strike differential, and a proven ability to mix in takedowns with high efficiency. Taveras is defensively sound on the feet but absorbs more strikes than he lands and has not demonstrated offensive grappling. Jenkins' well-roundedness and ability to control the fight's tempo give him the edge over three rounds.