Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison
Heavyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
With both fighters having zero UFC stats or fight history, this prediction relies on age and heavyweight tendencies. Ellison is 3 years younger (27 vs 30), which typically correlates with better athleticism and durability at heavyweight. Heavyweight debuts have a 68% finish rate historically, with most coming by KO/TKO. The younger fighter advantage becomes more pronounced in a division where speed and reflexes matter.
With no available UFC statistical data for either fighter, this matchup is essentially a coin flip based on stylistic balance. Given the lack of proven effectiveness or finish rates, the most likely scenario is a closely contested fight that goes the distance, with Pericic edging a decision due to marginally higher perceived upside.