Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
FINAL: Cam Rowston by KO/TKO Punches
Cam Rowston
Age 30 · Elo 1550*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Andre Petroski
Age 34 · Elo 1564
LWLWW
105 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Cam RowstonAndre Petroski
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Cam RowstonAndre Petroski
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Andre Petroski by Decision, 72% confidence
Petroski's wrestling-heavy approach and 3.91 takedowns per fight will overwhelm Rowston's 28% takedown defense. While Rowston has a 5-inch reach advantage, his limited UFC data and 0% takedown accuracy suggest he lacks the wrestling pedigree to keep this standing. Petroski's 80% takedown defense also neutralizes any offensive wrestling attempts.
GPT
Andre Petroski by Submission, 76% confidence
Petroski holds major advantages in both wrestling and submission grappling, averaging 3.91 takedowns per fight with 56% accuracy and 1.7 submissions per fight. Rowston has shown poor takedown defense (28%), making him highly susceptible to Petroski's ground attack. While Rowston is a capable striker with a slight edge in striking accuracy, his low output and lack of grappling offense or defense are significant liabilities against a proven finisher like Petroski.