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UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesMiddleweightPrelims
Cam RowstonWINNER
Cam
Rowston
30 yrsElo 1524*UFC debut
VS
Andre Petroski
Andre
Petroski
8-3UFC
34 yrsElo 1564
Final: Cam Rowston by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Claude
72%
Petroski
GPT
76%
Petroski
Elo
56%
Petroski
1524 vs 1564
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2" Height 6'0"
78" Reach 73"
Orthodox Stance Switch
4.60 Landed / min 2.75
2.12 Absorbed / minlower better 2.99
48% Strike accuracy 49%
52% Strike defense 51%
1.34 Takedowns / 15 3.13
44% TD accuracy 52%
33% TD defense 86%
0.3 Subs / 15 1.2
Small sample: Cam Rowston, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 25%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 25%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 13%GPT: Submission 59%GPT: Decision 28%
59%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 13%Submission 59%Decision 28%
Formnewest first
Cam Rowston
No UFC fights
Andre Petroski105 days out
L
Edmen Shahbazyan
U-DEC · 2025-06-14
W
Rodolfo Vieira
U-DEC · 2025-02-15
L
Jacob Malkoun
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
W
Dylan Budka
U-DEC · 2024-03-23
W
Josh Fremd
U-DEC · 2024-02-03
Why
Claude
Andre Petroski
72% · Decision
  • Petroski averages 3.91 takedowns per fight vs Rowston's 28% TDD
  • Petroski's 1.7 submission attempts per fight creates constant threats on the ground
  • Rowston's limited UFC experience (0 recorded fights) vs Petroski's proven 81.8% win rate
  • Petroski coming off 4 straight decision wins shows excellent cardio and control
Write-up

Petroski's wrestling-heavy approach and 3.91 takedowns per fight will overwhelm Rowston's 28% takedown defense. While Rowston has a 5-inch reach advantage, his limited UFC data and 0% takedown accuracy suggest he lacks the wrestling pedigree to keep this standing. Petroski's 80% takedown defense also neutralizes any offensive wrestling attempts.

GPT
Andre Petroski
76% · Submission
  • Petroski's elite wrestling and submission game
  • Rowston's 28% takedown defense
  • Petroski's superior fight experience and finish rate
Write-up

Petroski holds major advantages in both wrestling and submission grappling, averaging 3.91 takedowns per fight with 56% accuracy and 1.7 submissions per fight. Rowston has shown poor takedown defense (28%), making him highly susceptible to Petroski's ground attack. While Rowston is a capable striker with a slight edge in striking accuracy, his low output and lack of grappling offense or defense are significant liabilities against a proven finisher like Petroski.