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Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

FINAL: Cam Rowston by KO/TKO Punches
Cam Rowston
Cam Rowston
Age 30 · Elo 1550*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Andre Petroski
Andre Petroski
Age 34 · Elo 1564
LWLWW
105 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Cam RowstonAndre Petroski
Claude Claude: Cam Rowston 28% Claude: Andre Petroski 72% 28% 72% GPT GPT: Cam Rowston 24% GPT: Andre Petroski 76% 24% 76% Elo Elo: Cam Rowston 48% Elo: Andre Petroski 52% 48% 52%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Cam RowstonAndre Petroski
Strikes landed / min Cam Rowston Strikes landed / min: 4.60 4.60 Andre Petroski Strikes landed / min: 2.75 2.75 Strikes absorbed / min Cam Rowston Strikes absorbed / min: 2.12 2.12 Andre Petroski Strikes absorbed / min: 2.99 2.99 Striking accuracy Cam Rowston Striking accuracy: 48% 48% Andre Petroski Striking accuracy: 49% 49% Striking defense Cam Rowston Striking defense: 52% 52% Andre Petroski Striking defense: 51% 51% Takedowns / 15 min Cam Rowston Takedowns / 15 min: 1.34 1.34 Andre Petroski Takedowns / 15 min: 3.13 3.13 Takedown defense Cam Rowston Takedown defense: 33% 33% Andre Petroski Takedown defense: 86% 86% Sub attempts / 15 min Cam Rowston Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3 Andre Petroski Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.2 1.2

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 60% 60%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 13% 13% GPT: Submission 59% 59% GPT: Decision 28% 28%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Andre Petroski by Decision, 72% confidence

Petroski's wrestling-heavy approach and 3.91 takedowns per fight will overwhelm Rowston's 28% takedown defense. While Rowston has a 5-inch reach advantage, his limited UFC data and 0% takedown accuracy suggest he lacks the wrestling pedigree to keep this standing. Petroski's 80% takedown defense also neutralizes any offensive wrestling attempts.

GPT
Andre Petroski by Submission, 76% confidence

Petroski holds major advantages in both wrestling and submission grappling, averaging 3.91 takedowns per fight with 56% accuracy and 1.7 submissions per fight. Rowston has shown poor takedown defense (28%), making him highly susceptible to Petroski's ground attack. While Rowston is a capable striker with a slight edge in striking accuracy, his low output and lack of grappling offense or defense are significant liabilities against a proven finisher like Petroski.