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Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara

Women's Strawweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

FINAL: Alexia Thainara by U-DEC
Loma Lookboonmee
Loma Lookboonmee
Age 29 · Elo 1529
WWWWL
175 days since last fight
vs
Alexia Thainara
Alexia Thainara
Age 29 · Elo 1546*
W
189 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Loma LookboonmeeAlexia Thainara
Claude Claude: Loma Lookboonmee 72% Claude: Alexia Thainara 28% 72% 28% GPT GPT: Loma Lookboonmee 68% GPT: Alexia Thainara 32% 68% 32% Elo Elo: Loma Lookboonmee 48% Elo: Alexia Thainara 52% 48% 52%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Loma LookboonmeeAlexia Thainara
Strikes landed / min Loma Lookboonmee Strikes landed / min: 4.10 4.10 Alexia Thainara Strikes landed / min: 4.80 4.80 Strikes absorbed / min Loma Lookboonmee Strikes absorbed / min: 2.48 2.48 Alexia Thainara Strikes absorbed / min: 2.76 2.76 Striking accuracy Loma Lookboonmee Striking accuracy: 57% 57% Alexia Thainara Striking accuracy: 47% 47% Striking defense Loma Lookboonmee Striking defense: 53% 53% Alexia Thainara Striking defense: 55% 55% Takedowns / 15 min Loma Lookboonmee Takedowns / 15 min: 1.90 1.90 Alexia Thainara Takedowns / 15 min: 3.95 3.95 Takedown defense Loma Lookboonmee Takedown defense: 72% 72% Alexia Thainara Takedown defense: 100% 100% Sub attempts / 15 min Loma Lookboonmee Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.1 0.1 Alexia Thainara Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.4 1.4

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 20% 20% Claude: Decision 65% 65%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 8% 8% GPT: Submission 12% 12% GPT: Decision 80% 80%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Loma Lookboonmee by Decision, 72% confidence

Lookboonmee's experience edge and proven UFC track record against Thainara's debut creates a clear favorite. Loma's 4-fight win streak shows excellent form, while Thainara's 100% takedown accuracy comes from limited data. Lookboonmee's 72% takedown defense will neutralize Thainara's grappling-heavy approach.

GPT
Loma Lookboonmee by Decision, 68% confidence

Lookboonmee's superior striking accuracy (57%), strong takedown defense (72%), and proven UFC experience give her the edge over Thainara, who has impressive stats but limited high-level opposition and a glaring hole in takedown defense (0%). Lookboonmee's ability to control the range, defend takedowns, and land cleaner shots should allow her to outpoint Thainara over three rounds.