Nurullo Aliev vs Shem Rock

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Aliev brings proven UFC experience with a 100% win rate and well-rounded skillset. His 3.06 takedowns per fight at 44% accuracy gives him a clear grappling path against Rock, who has zero UFC data. Aliev's +2.04 striking differential and 59% defense show competent standup to complement his wrestling. Rock's lack of any UFC statistics makes him a complete unknown at this level. The orthodox vs southpaw dynamic could favor Aliev's wrestling entries. Aliev's youth (24 years old) and momentum from his recent win suggest he's ascending while Rock faces the UFC learning curve.

Nurullo Aliev has a significant statistical edge, showing a strong wrestling base (3.06 takedowns per fight, 44% accuracy) and excellent defensive metrics (0.46 SApM, 59% striking defense). Shem Rock has no verifiable UFC data, indicating a lack of proven performance at this level. Aliev's control and ability to avoid damage suggest he can dictate the tempo and location of the fight, most likely grinding out a decision.