Nicolas Dalby vs Saygid Izagakhmaev

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite limited UFC stats data for Izagakhmaev, his 22-2 record and recent form suggest elite-level skills. Dalby shows vulnerability with back-to-back decision losses and inconsistent striking accuracy (43%). Izagakhmaev's wrestling-heavy background from the Caucasus region typically translates to strong grappling pressure that can neutralize Dalby's balanced approach. Dalby's 58% takedown defense is concerning against a fresh grappler making his UFC debut.

Dalby is a durable, high-volume striker with decent takedown defense, but his 58% TD defense is exploitable. Izagakhmaev, despite no UFC stats, is a proven elite grappler in other promotions (notably under Khabib's tutelage). Dalby has struggled against strong wrestlers and can be controlled on the mat. If Izagakhmaev implements a heavy wrestling gameplan, he should be able to neutralize Dalby's output and win rounds via control, but Dalby's durability and scrambling limit finish opportunities.