Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. HookerLightweightMain card
Arman TsarukyanWINNER
Arman
Tsarukyan
9-2UFC
29 yrsElo 1655
VS
Dan Hooker
Dan
Hooker
14-8UFC
35 yrsElo 1554
Final: Arman Tsarukyan by SUB Arm Triangle
Who wins
Claude
75%
Tsarukyan
Elo
64%
Tsarukyan
1655 vs 1554
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'7" Height 6'0"
72" Reach 75"
Orthodox Stance Switch
3.85 Landed / min 4.82
1.80 Absorbed / minlower better 4.94
50% Strike accuracy 48%
54% Strike defense 49%
3.26 Takedowns / 15 0.68
37% TD accuracy 33%
75% TD defense 77%
0.1 Subs / 15 0.6
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Arman Tsarukyan588 days out
W
Charles Oliveira
S-DEC · 2024-04-13
W
Beneil Dariush
KO/TKO · 2023-12-02
W
Joaquim Silva
KO/TKO · 2023-06-17
W
Damir Ismagulov
U-DEC · 2022-12-17
L
Mateusz Gamrot
U-DEC · 2022-06-25
Dan Hooker623 days out
W
Mateusz Gamrot
S-DEC · 2024-03-09
W
Jalin Turner
S-DEC · 2023-07-08
W
Claudio Puelles
KO/TKO · 2022-11-12
L
Arnold Allen
KO/TKO · 2022-03-19
L
Islam Makhachev
SUB · 2021-10-30
Why
Claude
Arman Tsarukyan
75% · Decision
  • Wrestling differential: Tsarukyan averages 3.25 takedowns vs Hooker's 0.73, with superior chain wrestling
  • Momentum factor: Tsarukyan on 4-fight streak with 2 KOs, Hooker coming off close decisions
  • Common opponent analysis: Both lost to Islam Makhachev but Tsarukyan showed better wrestling defense
  • Cardio advantage: Tsarukyan's pressure wrestling style vs Hooker's high-volume striking tax
Write-up

Tsarukyan's superior wrestling (3.25 takedowns per fight vs 0.73) and excellent takedown defense (75%) will neutralize Hooker's striking volume advantage. While Hooker lands 5.03 strikes per minute compared to Tsarukyan's 3.79, Arman's 53% striking defense and ability to mix in takedowns will disrupt Hooker's rhythm. Tsarukyan has shown improved striking power with recent KO wins, and his 4-fight win streak demonstrates championship-level consistency. Hooker's vulnerability to grapplers (78% TDD vs Tsarukyan's 37% accuracy suggests successful takedowns) and recent damage absorption make him susceptible to control-heavy gameplan.