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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. HookerLightweightMain card
Arman
Tsarukyan
9-2UFC
VS
Dan
Hooker
14-8UFC
Final: Arman Tsarukyan by SUB Arm Triangle
Who wins
Tsarukyan winsevenHooker wins
Elo 64% Tsarukyan
Claude 75% Tsarukyan
Claude
75%
Tsarukyan
Elo
64%
Tsarukyan
1655 vs 1554
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'7"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
3.85
Landed / min
4.82
1.80
Absorbed / minlower better
4.94
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
54%
Strike defense
49%
3.26
Takedowns / 15
0.68
37%
TD accuracy
33%
75%
TD defense
77%
0.1
Subs / 15
0.6
How it ends
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Arman Tsarukyan588 days out
W
Charles Oliveira
S-DEC · 2024-04-13
W
Beneil Dariush
KO/TKO · 2023-12-02
W
Joaquim Silva
KO/TKO · 2023-06-17
W
Damir Ismagulov
U-DEC · 2022-12-17
L
Mateusz Gamrot
U-DEC · 2022-06-25
Dan Hooker623 days out
W
Mateusz Gamrot
S-DEC · 2024-03-09
W
Jalin Turner
S-DEC · 2023-07-08
W
Claudio Puelles
KO/TKO · 2022-11-12
L
Arnold Allen
KO/TKO · 2022-03-19
L
Islam Makhachev
SUB · 2021-10-30
Why
Claude
Arman Tsarukyan
75% · Decision
- Wrestling differential: Tsarukyan averages 3.25 takedowns vs Hooker's 0.73, with superior chain wrestling
- Momentum factor: Tsarukyan on 4-fight streak with 2 KOs, Hooker coming off close decisions
- Common opponent analysis: Both lost to Islam Makhachev but Tsarukyan showed better wrestling defense
- Cardio advantage: Tsarukyan's pressure wrestling style vs Hooker's high-volume striking tax
Write-up
Tsarukyan's superior wrestling (3.25 takedowns per fight vs 0.73) and excellent takedown defense (75%) will neutralize Hooker's striking volume advantage. While Hooker lands 5.03 strikes per minute compared to Tsarukyan's 3.79, Arman's 53% striking defense and ability to mix in takedowns will disrupt Hooker's rhythm. Tsarukyan has shown improved striking power with recent KO wins, and his 4-fight win streak demonstrates championship-level consistency. Hooker's vulnerability to grapplers (78% TDD vs Tsarukyan's 37% accuracy suggests successful takedowns) and recent damage absorption make him susceptible to control-heavy gameplan.