Arman Tsarukyan vs Dan Hooker

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Tsarukyan's superior wrestling (3.25 takedowns per fight vs 0.73) and excellent takedown defense (75%) will neutralize Hooker's striking volume advantage. While Hooker lands 5.03 strikes per minute compared to Tsarukyan's 3.79, Arman's 53% striking defense and ability to mix in takedowns will disrupt Hooker's rhythm. Tsarukyan has shown improved striking power with recent KO wins, and his 4-fight win streak demonstrates championship-level consistency. Hooker's vulnerability to grapplers (78% TDD vs Tsarukyan's 37% accuracy suggests successful takedowns) and recent damage absorption make him susceptible to control-heavy gameplan.