Light Heavyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
FINAL: Volkan Oezdemir by KO/TKO Punches
Volkan Oezdemir
Age 36 · Elo 1584
WWWLW
364 days since last fight
vs
Alonzo Menifield
Age 38 · Elo 1562
WWLWL
161 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Volkan OezdemirAlonzo Menifield
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Volkan OezdemirAlonzo Menifield
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Volkan Oezdemir by KO/TKO, 72% confidence
Oezdemir's technical striking superiority and momentum advantage make him a strong favorite. He's on a 4-fight win streak with 2 KOs and a submission, while Menifield has lost 4 of his last 5, all by KO/TKO. Volkan's 55% striking defense compared to Menifield's 49% shows better defensive responsibility. Their common opponent analysis heavily favors Oezdemir - he's 4-0 against shared opponents while Menifield is 2-2. Menifield's chin has been compromised recently, absorbing significant damage in consecutive losses. Oezdemir's measured approach and power striking at range should find the target against Menifield's aggressive but defensively porous style.