- Almabayev averages 5.08 takedowns per fight vs Perez's 77% takedown defense
- Almabayev's 1.7 submission attempts per fight creates constant threats
- Perez's 1-4 recent record with 3 stoppage losses shows vulnerability
- Both fighters matched in reach (65") but Almabayev's wrestling nullifies striking
Write-up
Almabayev's perfect 5-0 UFC record with dominant wrestling (5.08 takedowns per fight at 50% accuracy) presents a nightmare matchup for Perez. While Perez has superior striking volume (4.19 vs 2.11 SLPM), Almabayev's 1.7 submissions per fight and relentless grappling pressure will likely dictate the fight. Perez's recent 1-4 record including multiple KO losses suggests declining durability, while Almabayev is peaking with 5 straight unanimous decisions.
- Almabayev's takedown and submission volume
- Perez's strong takedown defense and striking output
- Almabayev's striking accuracy and lower strikes absorbed
Write-up
Almabayev's superior grappling volume and submission threat should allow him to control most positions. While Perez is the more experienced UFC fighter with better striking output and takedown defense, Almabayev's relentless wrestling pace (5.08 TDs per fight, 1.7 subs per fight) and high striking accuracy (56%) give him the edge over three rounds. Perez's takedown defense (77%) will slow Almabayev, but not enough to keep the fight standing for long stretches.