- Almakhan's 18% striking accuracy is alarmingly low, indicating fundamental technical issues
- 4.53 strikes absorbed per minute with only 30% defense shows Almakhan's defensive vulnerabilities
- Topuria family pedigree suggests strong grappling base to exploit Almakhan's 0% takedown defense
- Almakhan's -4.33 striking differential indicates he'll be significantly outworked on the feet
Write-up
This matchup presents significant data limitations, but Almakhan's concerning 18% striking accuracy and -4.33 striking differential from his lone UFC appearance suggests major technical deficiencies. While Topuria lacks UFC data, his brother Ilia's elite pedigree and the Topuria family's strong wrestling/grappling background indicate superior fundamentals. Almakhan absorbed 4.53 strikes per minute while landing only 0.2, demonstrating poor defense and offense. Topuria likely possesses the technical advantages to control range and avoid Almakhan's limited offense.
- Almakhan has actual UFC stats, albeit limited
- Topuria has no recorded activity or effectiveness
- Neither fighter has shown finishing ability at this level
Write-up
Both fighters have extremely limited UFC data, but Almakhan has at least some offensive activity and cage experience at this level, whereas Topuria has no measurable output or demonstrated effectiveness. Almakhan's minuscule striking output and low defense are concerning, but with Topuria showing no data, Almakhan's marginal UFC exposure gives him a slight edge in a likely low-action fight.