Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

This matchup presents significant data limitations, but Almakhan's concerning 18% striking accuracy and -4.33 striking differential from his lone UFC appearance suggests major technical deficiencies. While Topuria lacks UFC data, his brother Ilia's elite pedigree and the Topuria family's strong wrestling/grappling background indicate superior fundamentals. Almakhan absorbed 4.53 strikes per minute while landing only 0.2, demonstrating poor defense and offense. Topuria likely possesses the technical advantages to control range and avoid Almakhan's limited offense.

Both fighters have extremely limited UFC data, but Almakhan has at least some offensive activity and cage experience at this level, whereas Topuria has no measurable output or demonstrated effectiveness. Almakhan's minuscule striking output and low defense are concerning, but with Topuria showing no data, Almakhan's marginal UFC exposure gives him a slight edge in a likely low-action fight.