Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerquiera

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Yakhyaev's striking metrics are extraordinary - 32 SLPM with 88% accuracy and 66% defense compared to Cerquiera's poor 1.61 SLPM with 44% accuracy and 36% defense. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup favors Yakhyaev's superior volume and accuracy. Cerquiera absorbs 4.88 strikes per minute while landing only 1.61, creating a massive -3.27 differential. Yakhyaev's 100% takedown defense also negates any grappling threats.

Yakhyaev's overwhelming striking output (32 SLpM, 88% accuracy, +30 differential) and strong defensive statistics (66% striking defense, 100% takedown defense) indicate a dominant stand-up performance. Cerquiera absorbs far more strikes than he lands (4.88 SApM vs 1.61 SLpM, 36% defense), suggesting he will struggle with Yakhyaev's pace and precision. Grappling is likely a non-factor given both have 0 takedown attempts and Yakhyaev's superior takedown defense.