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UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. HookerLight HeavyweightPrelims
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Abdul Rakhman
Yakhyaev
24 yrsElo 1530*UFC debut
VS
Rafael Cerquiera
Rafael
Cerquiera
35 yrsUFC debut
Who wins
Claude
68%
Yakhyaev
GPT
81%
Yakhyaev
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2" Height 6'3"
78" Reach 76"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
32.00 Landed / min 1.61
2.00 Absorbed / minlower better 4.88
88% Strike accuracy 44%
66% Strike defense 36%
0% TD accuracy 0%
100% TD defense 40%
Small sample: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev, 0 UFC fights; Rafael Cerquiera, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 65%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 30%
65%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 65%Submission 5%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 65%GPT: Submission 2%GPT: Decision 33%
65%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 65%Submission 2%Decision 33%
Why
Claude
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
68% · KO/TKO
  • Yakhyaev's 32 SLPM vs Cerquiera's 1.61 SLPM creates overwhelming volume advantage
  • 88% striking accuracy vs 44% shows massive technical gap
  • Cerquiera's 36% striking defense leaves him extremely vulnerable
  • Orthodox vs Southpaw with Yakhyaev having 2" reach advantage
Write-up

Yakhyaev's striking metrics are extraordinary - 32 SLPM with 88% accuracy and 66% defense compared to Cerquiera's poor 1.61 SLPM with 44% accuracy and 36% defense. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup favors Yakhyaev's superior volume and accuracy. Cerquiera absorbs 4.88 strikes per minute while landing only 1.61, creating a massive -3.27 differential. Yakhyaev's 100% takedown defense also negates any grappling threats.

GPT
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
81% · KO/TKO
  • Massive striking output/accuracy gap (32 vs 1.61 SLpM, 88% vs 44% accuracy)
  • Significant defensive advantage (66% vs 36% striking defense)
  • Cerquiera's high absorb rate and low output
Write-up

Yakhyaev's overwhelming striking output (32 SLpM, 88% accuracy, +30 differential) and strong defensive statistics (66% striking defense, 100% takedown defense) indicate a dominant stand-up performance. Cerquiera absorbs far more strikes than he lands (4.88 SApM vs 1.61 SLpM, 36% defense), suggesting he will struggle with Yakhyaev's pace and precision. Grappling is likely a non-factor given both have 0 takedown attempts and Yakhyaev's superior takedown defense.