Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Soriano's significant striking volume advantage (4.89 vs 1.74 SLPM) and superior accuracy (53% vs 41%) should overwhelm Brahimaj's low-output style. While Brahimaj has submission threats (1.6 sub avg), Soriano's recent move to welterweight has revitalized him with back-to-back wins. Brahimaj is on a 3-fight losing streak and absorbs nearly 4 strikes per minute while landing less than 2.

Soriano's much higher striking volume and accuracy (4.89 SLpM at 53%) against Brahimaj's negative striking differential (-1.95, 1.74 SLpM, 3.69 SApM) strongly favor Puna in extended stand-up exchanges. Brahimaj's best path is grappling and submissions, but his takedown accuracy (35%) and TD defense (44%) indicate he struggles to control where the fight takes place, while Soriano's own offensive wrestling (56% TD accuracy, 1.48 TDs per 15) suggests he can mix in takedowns defensively and on his own terms. Given Brahimaj's defensive vulnerabilities on the feet and Soriano's proven power and output, the most likely outcome is Soriano overwhelming him with striking, leading to a stoppage, with a secondary possibility of Soriano winning a decision if Brahimaj's durability and clinch/grappling can slow the pace.