- Edwards averages 1.23 takedowns per fight with 39% accuracy vs Cornolle's 50% TDD
- 3-inch reach advantage allows Edwards to control striking distance
- Edwards' recent back-to-back submission wins show improved finishing ability
- Superior output differential - Edwards lands 4.48 SLPM vs Cornolle's 3.41
Write-up
Edwards holds significant advantages across multiple domains. Her 4.48 SLPM output exceeds Cornolle's 3.41, while her grappling threat (1.23 takedowns per fight, 0.6 submissions) creates constant danger. Edwards' recent submission victories showcase evolved grappling, addressing her previous decision-heavy approach. The 3-inch reach advantage (70" vs 67") allows Edwards to dictate range. Cornolle's 50% takedown defense vulnerability plays directly into Edwards' wrestling game. Edwards' 61% takedown defense also neutralizes Cornolle's limited offensive wrestling (11% accuracy).
- Striking volume edge: Edwards lands 4.48 SLpM vs Cornolle's 3.41, with similar accuracy, indicating a likely numbers advantage on the feet.
- Grappling and submission threat: Edwards averages 1.23 takedowns per fight at 39% accuracy with 0.6 subs per 15, compared to Cornolle's low-accuracy 0.39 TDs and no submission offense.
- Durability vs efficiency: Cornolle's better strike defense (62% vs 49%) makes this competitive on the feet, but Edwards' broader skill set and ability to mix in wrestling should offset Cornolle's defensive edge over three rounds.
Write-up
Edwards' higher output, more proven offensive wrestling, and superior submission threat give her more paths to win over three rounds. Cornolle is the cleaner, more efficient striker with better defense, but her low takedown accuracy and limited finishing metrics suggest she may struggle to deter Edwards' mixed striking, grappling approach. Over time, Edwards' volume and periodic takedowns should sway the scorecards in a competitive but clear decision.