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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFeatherweightPrelims
Jordan LeavittWINNER
Jordan
Leavitt
5-3UFC
30 yrsElo 1545
VS
Yadier del Valle
Yadier del
Valle
1-0UFC
29 yrsElo 1506*
Final: Jordan Leavitt by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
65%
Valle
GPT
74%
Valle
Elo
56%
Leavitt
1545 vs 1506
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9" Height 5'9"
71" Reach 69"
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
2.55 Landed / min 7.49
1.84 Absorbed / minlower better 3.46
61% Strike accuracy 67%
57% Strike defense 52%
2.19 Takedowns / 15 2.51
25% TD accuracy 42%
30% TD defense 66%
1.1 Subs / 15 1.7
Small sample: Yadier del Valle, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 20%Claude: Submission 25%Claude: Decision 55%
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 25%Decision 55%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 27%GPT: Decision 55%
55%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 18%Submission 27%Decision 55%
Formnewest first
Jordan Leavitt266 days out
W
Kurt Holobaugh
SUB Anaconda Choke · 2025-05-31
L
Chase Hooper
SUB · 2023-11-18
W
Victor Martinez
KO/TKO · 2023-02-25
L
Paddy Pimblett
SUB · 2022-07-23
W
Trey Ogden
S-DEC · 2022-04-16
Yadier del Valle112 days out
W
Isaac Dulgarian
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-11-01
Why
Claude
Yadier del Valle
65% · Decision
  • Del Valle lands 4.94 more strikes per minute with 6% better accuracy
  • Superior takedown defense (66% vs 30%) negates Leavitt's wrestling
  • Both southpaws but del Valle's volume creates more opportunities
  • Leavitt dropping to 145 for first time may affect cardio and strength
Write-up

Del Valle's massive striking volume advantage (7.49 vs 2.55 SLPM) and superior defensive metrics give him the edge in this southpaw mirror match. While both are submission threats, del Valle's 66% takedown defense should neutralize Leavitt's wrestling (25% accuracy). Del Valle lands nearly 5 more strikes per minute with better accuracy (67% vs 61%). Leavitt's move to featherweight may impact his strength advantage.

GPT
Yadier del Valle
74% · Decision
  • Massive striking volume and differential edge for Del Valle (7.49 vs 2.55 SLpM; +4.03 vs +0.71 differential)
  • Superior wrestling efficiency and defensive metrics for Del Valle (42% TD accuracy, 66% TD defense vs Leavitt's 25% TD accuracy, 30% TD defense)
  • Both are submission threats, but Del Valle's higher SubAvg (1.7 vs 1.1) combined with better control indicators favors him in grappling exchanges
Write-up

Del Valle's metrics point to a much higher offensive ceiling: he triples Leavitt's output (7.49 vs 2.55 SLpM) with better accuracy (67% vs 61%) while still holding a positive defensive edge in wrestling (66% TD defense vs Leavitt's 25% TD accuracy). Both are submission-oriented, but Del Valle attempts more takedowns and submissions per fight and is significantly more efficient, suggesting he can neutralize Leavitt's grappling while outworking him on the feet. Leavitt's path is largely submission-based, but Del Valle's volume, accuracy, and superior takedown metrics make a sustained, scorecard-driven win more likely than a finish.