Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Njokuani presents an overwhelming mismatch against Leal who has zero recorded UFC statistics. Njokuani's 3-fight win streak at welterweight shows excellent form after dropping from middleweight. His massive 6-inch reach advantage (80" vs 74") combined with 4.59 SLPM output and 63% accuracy creates a striking nightmare for Leal. With 74% takedown defense and superior experience, Njokuani should dominate every phase. Leal's complete lack of UFC data suggests he's either making his debut or has minimal experience at this level.

Njokuani's proven UFC-level striking efficiency (4.59 SLpM at 63% accuracy, positive differential, and solid 74% takedown defense) combined with clear height and reach advantages strongly favors him in a predominantly stand-up matchup against Leal, whose UFC statistical profile is effectively unknown and unproven at this level. Unless Leal can consistently pressure, clinch, and wrestle to negate range, Njokuani's long, accurate kickboxing and counter-striking should create knockout opportunities over three rounds.