Juliana Miller vs Carli Judice

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Judice's massive striking volume advantage (11.23 SLPM vs 3.31) and superior defensive metrics create a nightmare matchup for Miller. While Miller has shown knockout power and submission skills, her 45% striking accuracy and poor 32% defense will be exposed by Judice's high-volume southpaw attack. Miller's 0% takedown defense is concerning, but Judice's 25% takedown accuracy limits that threat. The reach advantage (68" vs 66") favors Judice, who can maintain distance and pepper Miller with strikes. Miller's recent losses by KO and decision show vulnerability to pressure fighters, which plays directly into Judice's wheelhouse.

Judice's pace and volume striking (11.23 SLpM, +1.13 differential, 54% accuracy) combined with solid 70% takedown defense should allow her to keep the fight standing and outwork Miller over three rounds. Miller's path is largely grappling-based, but her 0% takedown defense and negative striking differential (-1.44) suggest she will be at a major disadvantage if forced into extended stand-up exchanges, and securing enough control time or a submission against Judice's defensive metrics looks difficult.