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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezWomen's FlyweightPrelims
Juliana Miller
Juliana
Miller
2-2UFC
29 yrsElo 1479
VS
Carli JudiceWINNER
Carli
Judice
2-1UFC
26 yrsElo 1565
Final: Carli Judice by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
72%
Judice
GPT
72%
Judice
Elo
62%
Judice
1479 vs 1565
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'7" Height 5'7"
66" Reach 68"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
3.31 Landed / min 9.32
4.75 Absorbed / minlower better 6.62
45% Strike accuracy 50%
32% Strike defense 57%
1.84 Takedowns / 15 0.52
44% TD accuracy 25%
0% TD defense 80%
1.8 Subs / 15 0.0
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 75%
75%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 10%Decision 75%
GPT: KO/TKO 32%GPT: Submission 6%GPT: Decision 62%
62%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 32%Submission 6%Decision 62%
Formnewest first
Juliana Miller294 days out
W
Ivana Petrovic
U-DEC · 2025-05-03
L
Luana Santos
KO/TKO · 2023-08-12
L
Veronica Hardy
U-DEC · 2023-03-18
W
Brogan Walker
KO/TKO · 2022-08-06
Carli Judice217 days out
W
Nicolle Caliari
KO/TKO Knee · 2025-07-19
W
Yuneisy Duben
KO/TKO Kick · 2025-03-15
L
Gabriella Fernandes
S-DEC · 2024-01-13
Why
Claude
Carli Judice
72% · Decision
  • Judice lands 3.4x more strikes per minute (11.23 vs 3.31) with better accuracy (54% vs 45%)
  • Miller's 0% takedown defense is negated by Judice's poor 25% takedown accuracy
  • Judice's 2-inch reach advantage and southpaw stance creates awkward angles for orthodox Miller
  • Miller absorbs 4.75 strikes per minute with only 32% defense, vulnerable to Judice's volume
Write-up

Judice's massive striking volume advantage (11.23 SLPM vs 3.31) and superior defensive metrics create a nightmare matchup for Miller. While Miller has shown knockout power and submission skills, her 45% striking accuracy and poor 32% defense will be exposed by Judice's high-volume southpaw attack. Miller's 0% takedown defense is concerning, but Judice's 25% takedown accuracy limits that threat. The reach advantage (68" vs 66") favors Judice, who can maintain distance and pepper Miller with strikes. Miller's recent losses by KO and decision show vulnerability to pressure fighters, which plays directly into Judice's wheelhouse.

GPT
Carli Judice
72% · Decision
  • Huge striking volume and efficiency edge for Judice (11.23 SLpM vs 3.31, 54% vs 45% accuracy, positive differential vs Miller's negative differential)
  • Judice's 70% takedown defense versus Miller's need for grappling success and limited defensive metrics (0% TDDef, 32% striking defense)
  • Miller's defensive liabilities on the feet (4.75 SApM, 32% StrDef) against a high-output pressure striker increase damage and round-winning potential for Judice more than finish equity for Miller
Write-up

Judice's pace and volume striking (11.23 SLpM, +1.13 differential, 54% accuracy) combined with solid 70% takedown defense should allow her to keep the fight standing and outwork Miller over three rounds. Miller's path is largely grappling-based, but her 0% takedown defense and negative striking differential (-1.44) suggest she will be at a major disadvantage if forced into extended stand-up exchanges, and securing enough control time or a submission against Judice's defensive metrics looks difficult.