Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Spivac's grappling-heavy approach and submission expertise create significant problems for Delija. Despite recent losses to elite competition (Gane, Almeida), Spivac has shown consistent submission threat against mid-tier heavyweights. Delija's recent TKO losses to Cortes-Acosta and Moldavsky expose defensive vulnerabilities that Spivac can exploit through his 4.63 takedowns per fight average. The common opponent in Cortes-Acosta saw both fighters lose, but Spivac's decision loss shows better durability than Delija's TKO defeat.

Spivac is a proven UFC heavyweight with a strong wrestling and top-control game (4.6 TDs per 15 minutes at 65% accuracy) and consistent finishing ability on the mat. Delija is debuting in the UFC and historically has struggled when forced to defend prolonged grappling sequences. Over three rounds, Spivac's takedown volume and positional control should create repeated opportunities for ground-and-pound and back takes, making a club-and-sub or top-pressure submission the most likely outcome.