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UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. HernandezFlyweightPrelims
Alden CoriaWINNER
Alden
Coria
1-0UFC
27 yrsElo 1514*
VS
Luis Gurule
Luis
Gurule
0-2UFC
32 yrsElo 1441*
Final: Alden Coria by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
68%
Gurule
GPT
72%
Gurule
Elo
60%
Coria
1514 vs 1441
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
n/a Height 5'5"
n/a Reach 64"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
n/a Landed / min 7.00
n/a Absorbed / minlower better 4.27
0% Strike accuracy 50%
0% Strike defense 58%
n/a Takedowns / 15 0.00
0% TD accuracy 0%
0% TD defense 50%
n/a Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Alden Coria, 1 UFC fight; Luis Gurule, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 30%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 30%Submission 10%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 33%GPT: Submission 7%GPT: Decision 60%
60%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 33%Submission 7%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Alden Coria161 days out
W
Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-09-13
Luis Gurule161 days out
L
Jesus Aguilar
U-DEC · 2025-09-13
L
Ode Osbourne
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-04-05
Why
Claude
Luis Gurule
68% · Decision
  • Gurule lands 7.0 significant strikes per minute vs Coria's 0 recorded output
  • 58% striking defense for Gurule creates defensive reliability
  • Gurule's +2.73 striking differential indicates consistent offensive success
  • Coria has no recorded UFC statistics, suggesting limited high-level competition
Write-up

Gurule's striking metrics paint a clear picture - 7.0 SLPM with 50% accuracy and 58% defense creates a massive advantage over Coria's non-existent UFC stats. The 64-inch reach gives Gurule compact power and defensive responsibility. His +2.73 striking differential showcases offensive output while maintaining solid defense. Coria's lack of any recorded metrics suggests this is likely a short-notice replacement or regional fighter stepping up. Gurule's orthodox stance and established striking rhythm should dominate the exchanges.

GPT
Luis Gurule
72% · Decision
  • Gurule's high-volume striking (7 SLpM) with solid 50% accuracy and positive striking differential
  • Decent defensive metrics for Gurule (58% striking defense, manageable 4.27 SApM) indicating he can sustain his pace
  • Total data void on Coria at UFC level, making it unlikely he can consistently outwork a proven high-output striker without a clear grappling edge
Write-up

Gurule brings proven UFC-level output and efficiency (7 SLpM on 50% accuracy with positive differential) against an essentially unknown sample in Coria, whose UFC stats are blank. Unless Coria is a significantly above-average finisher or wrestler, Gurule's pace, accuracy, and defensive metrics should let him win minutes and out-volume Coria over three rounds.