Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Gurule's striking metrics paint a clear picture - 7.0 SLPM with 50% accuracy and 58% defense creates a massive advantage over Coria's non-existent UFC stats. The 64-inch reach gives Gurule compact power and defensive responsibility. His +2.73 striking differential showcases offensive output while maintaining solid defense. Coria's lack of any recorded metrics suggests this is likely a short-notice replacement or regional fighter stepping up. Gurule's orthodox stance and established striking rhythm should dominate the exchanges.

Gurule brings proven UFC-level output and efficiency (7 SLpM on 50% accuracy with positive differential) against an essentially unknown sample in Coria, whose UFC stats are blank. Unless Coria is a significantly above-average finisher or wrestler, Gurule's pace, accuracy, and defensive metrics should let him win minutes and out-volume Coria over three rounds.