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Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague

Women's Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

FINAL: Michelle Montague by U-DEC
Mayra Bueno Silva
Mayra Bueno Silva
Age 34 · Elo 1467
LLLLL
167 days since last fight
vs
Michelle Montague
Michelle Montague
Age 32 · Elo 1539*
W
210 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Mayra Bueno SilvaMichelle Montague
GPT GPT: Mayra Bueno Silva 72% GPT: Michelle Montague 28% 72% 28% Elo Elo: Mayra Bueno Silva 40% Elo: Michelle Montague 60% 40% 60%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Mayra Bueno SilvaMichelle Montague
Strikes landed / min Mayra Bueno Silva Strikes landed / min: 4.01 4.01 Michelle Montague Strikes landed / min: no data - Strikes absorbed / min Mayra Bueno Silva Strikes absorbed / min: 5.00 5.00 Michelle Montague Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Striking accuracy Mayra Bueno Silva Striking accuracy: 59% 59% Michelle Montague Striking accuracy: 0% 0% Striking defense Mayra Bueno Silva Striking defense: 52% 52% Michelle Montague Striking defense: 0% 0% Takedowns / 15 min Mayra Bueno Silva Takedowns / 15 min: 0.64 0.64 Michelle Montague Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Mayra Bueno Silva Takedown defense: 66% 66% Michelle Montague Takedown defense: 0% 0% Sub attempts / 15 min Mayra Bueno Silva Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.5 1.5 Michelle Montague Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 13% 13% GPT: Submission 47% 47% GPT: Decision 40% 40%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Mayra Bueno Silva by Submission, 72% confidence

Bueno Silva brings proven UFC-level finishing grappling and a very high submission rate against established bantamweight opposition, while Montague is an unproven debutant at this level with no available UFC stats; Montague's best regional path is also grappling-based, which likely forces her into Bueno Silva's strongest domain where Silva's experience, opportunistic front chokes, and comfort in chaotic scrambles should create multiple submission opportunities over three rounds.