Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Griffin has a massive experience edge at the UFC level, far higher output, significantly better defensive metrics, and a proven wrestling game. Valenzuela's numbers (low volume, negative striking differential, 0% recorded defense, no takedown offense or defense shown) suggest limited UFC sample and clear vulnerabilities that a well-rounded veteran like Griffin can exploit. However, Griffin's historical tendency to go to decisions and manage risk rather than overextend makes a points win more likely than a finish.