Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Spann brings far greater UFC experience, a much higher striking output, and proven finishing ability both on the feet and via submissions. Buchecha's UFC metrics show low offensive volume, poor takedown success (9%), and 0% takedown defense, which is a major red flag against a long, opportunistic finisher like Spann. Unless Buchecha can consistently force advantageous grappling exchanges and translate his BJJ credentials into dominant top control, Spann's pace, power, and ability to hurt or club-and-sub opponents should take over, with Buchecha's defensive liabilities making an early or mid-fight stoppage more likely than a drawn-out decision.