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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalHeavyweightPrelims
Marcus
Buchecha
VS
Ryan
Spann
9-5UFC
Final: Ryan Spann by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Buchecha winsevenSpann wins
GPT 72% Spann
Elo 61% Spann
GPT
72%
Spann
Elo
61%
Spann
1481 vs 1561
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2"
Height
6'5"
77"
Reach
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.60
Landed / min
3.11
2.73
Absorbed / minlower better
3.92
40%
Strike accuracy
39%
52%
Strike defense
43%
1.00
Takedowns / 15
1.21
9%
TD accuracy
34%
0%
TD defense
59%
n/a
Subs / 15
1.7
Small sample: Marcus Buchecha, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
47%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 47%Submission 20%Decision 33%
Formnewest first
Marcus Buchecha
No UFC fights
Ryan Spann280 days out
W
Lukasz Brzeski
SUB Guillotine Choke · 2025-07-19
L
Bogdan Guskov
KO/TKO · 2024-04-27
W
Ovince Saint Preux
SUB · 2024-04-13
L
Anthony Smith
S-DEC · 2023-08-26
L
Nikita Krylov
SUB · 2023-03-11
Why
GPT
Ryan Spann
72% · KO/TKO
- Experience and proven UFC finishing ability strongly favor Spann, who has a significantly higher win rate and far more high-level cage time.
- Buchecha's current UFC stats show very low offensive volume, extremely low takedown accuracy, and 0% takedown defense, making him vulnerable in extended MMA exchanges.
- Spann's combination of 3.3 SLpM, solid 40% accuracy, 1.32 takedowns per fight, and 1.7 submissions per fight indicates multiple finishing paths against a still-raw MMA profile in Buchecha.
Write-up
Spann brings far greater UFC experience, a much higher striking output, and proven finishing ability both on the feet and via submissions. Buchecha's UFC metrics show low offensive volume, poor takedown success (9%), and 0% takedown defense, which is a major red flag against a long, opportunistic finisher like Spann. Unless Buchecha can consistently force advantageous grappling exchanges and translate his BJJ credentials into dominant top control, Spann's pace, power, and ability to hurt or club-and-sub opponents should take over, with Buchecha's defensive liabilities making an early or mid-fight stoppage more likely than a drawn-out decision.