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Norma Dumont vs Joselyne Edwards

Women's Bantamweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

FINAL: Joselyne Edwards by U-DEC
Norma Dumont
Norma Dumont
Age 35 · Elo 1580
WWWWW
175 days since last fight
vs
Joselyne Edwards
Joselyne Edwards
Age 30 · Elo 1573
WWWWL
62 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Norma DumontJoselyne Edwards
GPT GPT: Norma Dumont 73% GPT: Joselyne Edwards 27% 73% 27% Elo Elo: Norma Dumont 51% Elo: Joselyne Edwards 49% 51% 49%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Norma DumontJoselyne Edwards
Strikes landed / min Norma Dumont Strikes landed / min: 3.86 3.86 Joselyne Edwards Strikes landed / min: 4.48 4.48 Strikes absorbed / min Norma Dumont Strikes absorbed / min: 2.16 2.16 Joselyne Edwards Strikes absorbed / min: 3.19 3.19 Striking accuracy Norma Dumont Striking accuracy: 50% 50% Joselyne Edwards Striking accuracy: 52% 52% Striking defense Norma Dumont Striking defense: 65% 65% Joselyne Edwards Striking defense: 49% 49% Takedowns / 15 min Norma Dumont Takedowns / 15 min: 1.72 1.72 Joselyne Edwards Takedowns / 15 min: 1.23 1.23 Takedown defense Norma Dumont Takedown defense: 72% 72% Joselyne Edwards Takedown defense: 61% 61% Sub attempts / 15 min Norma Dumont Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Joselyne Edwards Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.6 0.6

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 12% 12% GPT: Submission 8% 8% GPT: Decision 80% 80%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Norma Dumont by Decision, 73% confidence

Dumont is the more defensively sound and efficient fighter, with superior strike defense (65% vs 49%), lower damage absorbed (2.16 vs 3.19 SApM), and better takedown accuracy and defense. Edwards throws more volume but is easier to hit and more prone to being controlled. Over three rounds, Dumont's cleaner boxing, clinch control, and more reliable wrestling should edge the minutes and limit Edwards' ability to outwork her.