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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalMiddleweightPrelims
Jackson
McVey
0-2UFC
VS
Sedriques
Dumas
3-4UFC
Final: Jackson McVey by SUB D'Arce Choke
Who wins
McVey winsevenDumas wins
GPT 69% Dumas
Elo 59% McVey
GPT
69%
Dumas
Elo
59%
McVey
1507 vs 1447
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
79"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6.51
Landed / min
2.15
3.37
Absorbed / minlower better
2.03
69%
Strike accuracy
48%
23%
Strike defense
58%
n/a
Takedowns / 15
1.31
0%
TD accuracy
35%
0%
TD defense
40%
1.2
Subs / 15
0.3
Small sample: Jackson McVey, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
60%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 27%Submission 13%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Jackson McVey167 days out
L
Zach Reese
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-11-08
L
Brunno Ferreira
SUB Armbar · 2025-07-19
Sedriques Dumas175 days out
L
Donte Johnson
SUB Guillotine Choke · 2025-11-01
L
Michal Oleksiejczuk
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-04-12
L
Nursulton Ruziboev
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
W
Denis Tiuliulin
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
W
Abu Azaitar
U-DEC · 2023-10-21
Why
GPT
Sedriques Dumas
69% · Decision
- Significant experience edge for Dumas against UFC competition versus McVey's lack of UFC data
- Dumas' efficient striking profile (positive differential, 48% accuracy, 58% defense) suggests he can win minutes in a measured, lower-output fight
- Functional but not dominant wrestling (1.31 TDs per fight, 35% accuracy) gives Dumas a secondary path to control if the stand-up is close
Write-up
Dumas has established UFC-level experience, measured but efficient striking metrics, and functional wrestling against a debuting McVey with no available UFC stats. McVey is an unknown quantity at this level, while Dumas has shown improving composure, better shot selection, and the ability to mix in takedowns, which should allow him to control the tempo and bank rounds even if he cannot consistently finish.