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Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

FINAL: Eric McConico by U-DEC
Rodolfo Vieira
Rodolfo Vieira
Age 36 · Elo 1510
LLWWL
160 days since last fight
vs
Eric McConico
Eric McConico
Age 35 · Elo 1477
LWL
160 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Rodolfo VieiraEric McConico
GPT GPT: Rodolfo Vieira 82% GPT: Eric McConico 18% 82% 18% Elo Elo: Rodolfo Vieira 55% Elo: Eric McConico 45% 55% 45%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Rodolfo VieiraEric McConico
Strikes landed / min Rodolfo Vieira Strikes landed / min: 3.19 3.19 Eric McConico Strikes landed / min: 2.92 2.92 Strikes absorbed / min Rodolfo Vieira Strikes absorbed / min: 4.60 4.60 Eric McConico Strikes absorbed / min: 3.05 3.05 Striking accuracy Rodolfo Vieira Striking accuracy: 54% 54% Eric McConico Striking accuracy: 46% 46% Striking defense Rodolfo Vieira Striking defense: 49% 49% Eric McConico Striking defense: 45% 45% Takedowns / 15 min Rodolfo Vieira Takedowns / 15 min: 4.18 4.18 Eric McConico Takedowns / 15 min: 0.64 0.64 Takedown defense Rodolfo Vieira Takedown defense: 100% 100% Eric McConico Takedown defense: 68% 68% Sub attempts / 15 min Rodolfo Vieira Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.6 1.6 Eric McConico Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 12% 12% GPT: Submission 63% 63% GPT: Decision 25% 25%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Rodolfo Vieira by Submission, 82% confidence

Vieira is an elite BJJ specialist with very high takedown volume (4.18 TDs per fight) and strong offensive grappling metrics against established UFC competition. McConico has no proven UFC-level data, offering major uncertainty and suggesting a significant experience and skill gap, especially defensively on the ground. Given Vieira's historical path to victory and McConico's lack of demonstrated takedown defense or submission awareness at this level, an early-to-mid fight submission is the likeliest outcome.