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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. ZalalMiddleweightPrelims
Rodolfo
Vieira
5-4UFC
VS
Eric
McConico
1-2UFC
Final: Eric McConico by U-DEC
Who wins
Vieira winsevenMcConico wins
Elo 56% Vieira
GPT 82% Vieira
GPT
82%
Vieira
Elo
56%
Vieira
1522 vs 1477
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3.19
Landed / min
2.92
4.60
Absorbed / minlower better
3.05
54%
Strike accuracy
46%
49%
Strike defense
45%
4.18
Takedowns / 15
0.64
30%
TD accuracy
100%
100%
TD defense
68%
1.6
Subs / 15
n/a
How it ends
63%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 12%Submission 63%Decision 25%
Formnewest first
Rodolfo Vieira160 days out
L
Bo Nickal
KO/TKO Kick · 2025-11-15
L
Andre Petroski
U-DEC · 2025-02-15
W
Armen Petrosyan
SUB · 2024-02-10
W
Cody Brundage
SUB · 2023-04-29
L
Chris Curtis
U-DEC · 2022-06-25
Eric McConico160 days out
L
Baisangur Susurkaev
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-11-15
W
Cody Brundage
S-DEC · 2025-08-09
L
Nursulton Ruziboev
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-02-22
Why
GPT
Rodolfo Vieira
82% · Submission
- Vieira's elite grappling pedigree and high submissions-per-fight rate (1.6) against known UFC opposition
- Clear wrestling and top-control advantage indicated by 4.18 takedowns per fight and 100% recorded TD defense
- McConico's complete absence of UFC statistical sample, implying a steep jump in competition and likely defensive gaps on the mat
Write-up
Vieira is an elite BJJ specialist with very high takedown volume (4.18 TDs per fight) and strong offensive grappling metrics against established UFC competition. McConico has no proven UFC-level data, offering major uncertainty and suggesting a significant experience and skill gap, especially defensively on the ground. Given Vieira's historical path to victory and McConico's lack of demonstrated takedown defense or submission awareness at this level, an early-to-mid fight submission is the likeliest outcome.