Featherweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
FINAL: Aljamain Sterling by U-DEC
Aljamain Sterling
Age 36 · Elo 1674
WLWLW
245 days since last fight
vs
Youssef Zalal
Age 29 · Elo 1551
WWLWW
203 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Aljamain SterlingYoussef Zalal
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Aljamain SterlingYoussef Zalal
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Aljamain Sterling by Decision, 68% confidence
Sterling's higher output and striking accuracy, combined with his proven ability to win minutes with volume and clinch/wrestling pressure, should edge the scorecards against Zalal's more measured, defensively sound style. Zalal's superior defensive metrics and submission rate make a finish against him less likely, but he is unlikely to consistently outwork or control Sterling over three to five rounds.