Rafa Garcia vs Alexander Hernandez

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Garcia's higher takedown volume, superior takedown defense, and more disciplined defensive striking profile position him to neutralize Hernandez's early explosiveness, bank control time, and edge rounds in a competitive but grindy fight. Hernandez's tendency to slow and his negative striking differential against pressure wrestlers align poorly with Garcia's durable, pressure-heavy style.