Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Teixeira's inflated offensive metrics over a tiny sample, Pavlovich is the proven UFC-level heavyweight with elite early power, better-tested durability, and superior strength of schedule. Teixeira's extremely high SLpM and SApM suggest an aggressive but very hittable style that is dangerous against a fast, long puncher like Pavlovich, who excels at punishing entries and exchanges in the pocket. With no demonstrated wrestling threat from either man and Teixeira showing 0% takedown defense, this projects as a high-variance but striker-vs-striker bout where Pavlovich's cleaner mechanics, experience against top-5 heavyweights, and one-shot power make an early KO/TKO the most likely outcome.