Rei Tsuruya vs Jesus Aguilar

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Tsuruya's much higher takedown volume and efficiency (5.45 TDs per fight at 50% vs Aguilar's 1.75 at 33%) projects sustained top-time and control, while his superior offensive grappling output (2.5 subs per fight) forces Aguilar to defend rather than attack. Aguilar's better strike defense and 6-inch reach edge suggest he can avoid being dominated on the feet and survive scrambles, making a control-heavy decision for Tsuruya more likely than a finish.