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Ding Meng vs Jose Henrique

Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Ding Meng
Ding Meng
Age 31 · Elo 1480*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Jose Henrique
Jose Henrique
Age 24
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Ding MengJose Henrique
GPT GPT: Ding Meng 63% GPT: Jose Henrique 37% 63% 37%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Ding MengJose Henrique
Strikes landed / min Ding Meng Strikes landed / min: 3.80 3.80 Jose Henrique Strikes landed / min: 3.45 3.45 Strikes absorbed / min Ding Meng Strikes absorbed / min: 4.33 4.33 Jose Henrique Strikes absorbed / min: 5.79 5.79 Striking accuracy Ding Meng Striking accuracy: 45% 45% Jose Henrique Striking accuracy: 43% 43% Striking defense Ding Meng Striking defense: 51% 51% Jose Henrique Striking defense: 38% 38% Takedowns / 15 min Ding Meng Takedowns / 15 min: 0.50 0.50 Jose Henrique Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Ding Meng Takedown defense: 0% 0% Jose Henrique Takedown defense: 0% 0% Sub attempts / 15 min Ding Meng Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Jose Henrique Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 23% 23% GPT: Submission 4% GPT: Decision 73% 73%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Ding Meng by Decision, 63% confidence

Both men show negative striking differentials and limited grappling, but Meng is more efficient everywhere: better strike accuracy (50% vs 43%), slightly lower output but far lower damage absorbed (3.87 vs 5.79 SApM), and a much smaller negative differential (-0.47 vs -2.34). Henrique's reach edge is offset by poor defense (38% vs 48%) and a tendency to be hit clean. With neither fighter showing proven finishing or grappling, this profiles as a mid-tempo striking match where Meng's cleaner shots and marginally better defense carry rounds on volume and accuracy.