Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back to the card

Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo

Bantamweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

FINAL: Song Yadong by SUB Guillotine Choke
Song Yadong
Song Yadong
Age 28 · Elo 1635
LWLWW
125 days since last fight
vs
Deiveson Figueiredo
Deiveson Figueiredo
Age 38 · Elo 1613
LWLLW
125 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Song YadongDeiveson Figueiredo
GPT GPT: Song Yadong 68% GPT: Deiveson Figueiredo 32% 68% 32% Elo Elo: Song Yadong 53% Elo: Deiveson Figueiredo 47% 53% 47%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Song YadongDeiveson Figueiredo
Strikes landed / min Song Yadong Strikes landed / min: 4.34 4.34 Deiveson Figueiredo Strikes landed / min: 3.01 3.01 Strikes absorbed / min Song Yadong Strikes absorbed / min: 3.81 3.81 Deiveson Figueiredo Strikes absorbed / min: 3.39 3.39 Striking accuracy Song Yadong Striking accuracy: 43% 43% Deiveson Figueiredo Striking accuracy: 55% 55% Striking defense Song Yadong Striking defense: 55% 55% Deiveson Figueiredo Striking defense: 51% 51% Takedowns / 15 min Song Yadong Takedowns / 15 min: 0.82 0.82 Deiveson Figueiredo Takedowns / 15 min: 1.68 1.68 Takedown defense Song Yadong Takedown defense: 73% 73% Deiveson Figueiredo Takedown defense: 58% 58% Sub attempts / 15 min Song Yadong Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Deiveson Figueiredo Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.6 1.6

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 32% 32% GPT: Submission 6% GPT: Decision 62% 62%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Song Yadong by Decision, 68% confidence

At bantamweight, Song's size, youth, and pace advantage combined with superior striking differential (4.49 SLpM vs 3.01, +0.53 vs -0.38) and better defensive metrics (55% vs 51% striking defense, 72% vs 58% TD defense) should allow him to keep the fight largely standing and outwork Figueiredo over three to five rounds. Figueiredo's submission threat and opportunistic counters remain live, but his historically lower output, less efficient defense, and likely size disadvantage against a strong, physical Song make it harder for him to consistently win minutes without big moments or sustained top control.