Bantamweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
FINAL: Song Yadong by SUB Guillotine Choke
Song Yadong
Age 28 · Elo 1635
LWLWW
125 days since last fight
vs
Deiveson Figueiredo
Age 38 · Elo 1613
LWLLW
125 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Song YadongDeiveson Figueiredo
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Song YadongDeiveson Figueiredo
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Song Yadong by Decision, 68% confidence
At bantamweight, Song's size, youth, and pace advantage combined with superior striking differential (4.49 SLpM vs 3.01, +0.53 vs -0.38) and better defensive metrics (55% vs 51% striking defense, 72% vs 58% TD defense) should allow him to keep the fight largely standing and outwork Figueiredo over three to five rounds. Figueiredo's submission threat and opportunistic counters remain live, but his historically lower output, less efficient defense, and likely size disadvantage against a strong, physical Song make it harder for him to consistently win minutes without big moments or sustained top control.