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Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon

Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

FINAL: Cody Haddon by KO/TKO Knee
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng
Age 32 · Elo 1459
WLLWL
224 days since last fight
vs
Cody Haddon
Cody Haddon
Age 27 · Elo 1543*
W
763 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

AoriqilengCody Haddon
GPT GPT: Aoriqileng 26% GPT: Cody Haddon 74% 26% 74% Elo Elo: Aoriqileng 38% Elo: Cody Haddon 62% 38% 62%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

AoriqilengCody Haddon
Strikes landed / min Aoriqileng Strikes landed / min: 4.40 4.40 Cody Haddon Strikes landed / min: 8.84 8.84 Strikes absorbed / min Aoriqileng Strikes absorbed / min: 5.66 5.66 Cody Haddon Strikes absorbed / min: 2.72 2.72 Striking accuracy Aoriqileng Striking accuracy: 49% 49% Cody Haddon Striking accuracy: 56% 56% Striking defense Aoriqileng Striking defense: 46% 46% Cody Haddon Striking defense: 62% 62% Takedowns / 15 min Aoriqileng Takedowns / 15 min: 1.11 1.11 Cody Haddon Takedowns / 15 min: 2.96 2.96 Takedown defense Aoriqileng Takedown defense: 59% 59% Cody Haddon Takedown defense: 83% 83% Sub attempts / 15 min Aoriqileng Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Cody Haddon Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.6 0.6

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 32% 32% GPT: Submission 18% 18% GPT: Decision 50% 50%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Cody Haddon by Decision, 74% confidence

Haddon profiles as the much more efficient, higher-volume, and better-defending all-rounder. His SLpM is roughly double with superior accuracy and a massive positive strike differential, while Aoriqileng is negative in that metric and absorbs more than he lands. Haddon also owns a strong takedown-defense figure and higher submission output, which should blunt Aoriqileng's wrestling and clinch attempts. Over three rounds, Haddon's pace, cleaner entries, and superior defensive metrics point toward him out-landing Aoriqileng and mixing in takedowns without overexposing himself to big counters.