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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. FigueiredoLight HeavyweightMain card
Zhang
Mingyang
3-1UFC
VS
Alonzo
Menifield
10-7UFC
Final: Alonzo Menifield by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Mingyang winsevenMenifield wins
Elo 58% Menifield
GPT 63% Mingyang
GPT
63%
Mingyang
Elo
58%
Menifield
1516 vs 1573
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2"
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.23
Landed / min
3.84
6.39
Absorbed / minlower better
3.81
57%
Strike accuracy
53%
57%
Strike defense
51%
n/a
Takedowns / 15
0.48
0%
TD accuracy
31%
0%
TD defense
78%
n/a
Subs / 15
0.2
How it ends
63%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 63%Submission 5%Decision 32%
Formnewest first
Zhang Mingyang280 days out
L
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-08-23
W
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO Elbows · 2025-04-26
W
Ozzy Diaz
· 2024-11-23
W
Brendson Ribeiro
KO/TKO · 2024-02-17
Alonzo Menifield188 days out
L
Volkan Oezdemir
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-11-22
W
Oumar Sy
U-DEC · 2025-06-14
W
Julius Walker
S-DEC · 2025-02-22
L
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO · 2024-02-24
W
Dustin Jacoby
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
Why
GPT
Zhang Mingyang
63% · KO/TKO
- Huge offensive volume and accuracy edge for Zhang (9.23 SLpM, 57% accuracy vs Menifield's 3.77 SLpM)
- Menifield's defensive metrics (49% striking defense) and historical cardio issues under hard pace
- Menifield's wrestling is a viable but inconsistent weapon and may not be sustainable over three rounds against a younger, aggressive striker
Write-up
Zhang's early-round power, pace (9.23 SLpM at 57% accuracy), and pressure striking are likely to overwhelm Menifield's lower-volume, more measured approach. Menifield's best path is mixing in takedowns (0.63 per fight at 33% accuracy) and clinch control, but his tendency to slow and get hittable late plus Zhang's youth, durability, and offensive output tilt the matchup toward Zhang finding a knockout, particularly in the first half of the fight.