Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji
Flyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Perez is the more proven, well-rounded fighter with a strong wrestling base (2.04 TD avg, 46% TD accuracy, 77% TD defense) and solid defensive striking (58% StrDef, positive strike differential). Sumudaerji has the cleaner, longer-range southpaw striking (higher SLpM, 53% accuracy, 7-inch reach edge) but offers minimal takedown offense and only 66% takedown defense, which has historically been his vulnerability. Over three rounds, Perez is statistically more likely to mix leg kicks, pocket exchanges, and level changes to blunt Sumudaerji's volume and bank control time, while avoiding prolonged open-space kickboxing where Sumudaerji is most dangerous. Sumudaerji's finishing upside keeps KO/TKO live, but Perez's durability, experience against elite flyweights, and grappling edge tilt the probabilities toward a competitive but clear decision.