Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Asplund shows massive striking advantages with 41.25 strikes landed per minute vs Sharaf's 7.31, plus superior accuracy (64% vs 44%) and defense (71% vs 44%). Sharaf's recent form shows consecutive first-round KO losses, indicating serious durability issues. The striking differential of +33.75 for Asplund vs -2.48 for Sharaf represents one of the largest gaps on the card. Sharaf's 0% takedown defense and poor wrestling (12% accuracy) eliminates his grappling path to victory. Asplund's 2-inch height and 1-inch reach advantages compound the striking mismatch.

Asplund's striking metrics (41.25 SLpM at 64% with 71% defense) are clearly inflated by tiny sample size but still indicate a massive efficiency and volume edge over Sharaf, who absorbs far more than he lands (7.31 SLpM vs 9.79 SApM, 44% defense) and has almost no demonstrated takedown success (12% TD, 0% TDDef). With both showing negligible grappling threats, this projects as a high-pace striking fight where Asplund's cleaner, more accurate offense and superior defense should allow him to overwhelm Sharaf and force a stoppage once damage accumulates.