Neil Magny vs Yaroslav Amosov
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
While Amosov lacks UFC data, he enters as an undefeated Bellator champion (27-0) with elite wrestling credentials. Magny's recent form shows vulnerability to power strikers (KO losses in 2 of last 3), and his 54% takedown defense against 2.15 takedowns per fight suggests defensive wrestling issues. Amosov's sambo background and championship experience should allow him to control positioning against Magny's volume-based approach. Magny's 46% striking accuracy and negative strike differential (-2.48 absorbed vs 3.44 landed) indicate defensive liabilities that a fresh, elite competitor can exploit.
Amosov's elite wrestling, top control, and physical strength should consistently beat Magny's clinch-and-volume game over three rounds. Magny's length, cardio, and veteran savvy make him durable and hard to finish, but his historically average takedown defense and tendency to be controlled by strong wrestlers align poorly against Amosov's pressure style and chain wrestling.