Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. KapeWelterweightPrelims
Neil Magny
Neil
Magny
23-11UFC
38 yrsElo 1615
VS
Yaroslav AmosovWINNER
Yaroslav
Amosov
32 yrsElo 1562*UFC debut
Final: Yaroslav Amosov by SUB Anaconda Choke
Who wins
Claude
72%
Amosov
GPT
74%
Amosov
Elo
58%
Magny
1615 vs 1562
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3" Height n/a
80" Reach n/a
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.40 Landed / min n/a
2.44 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
46% Strike accuracy 0%
51% Strike defense 0%
2.17 Takedowns / 15 n/a
39% TD accuracy 0%
55% TD defense 0%
0.3 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Yaroslav Amosov, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 14%GPT: Submission 23%GPT: Decision 63%
63%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 14%Submission 23%Decision 63%
Formnewest first
Neil Magny77 days out
W
Jake Matthews
SUB D'Arce Choke · 2025-09-27
L
Michael Morales
KO/TKO · 2024-03-16
W
Mike Malott
KO/TKO · 2024-01-20
L
Ian Machado Garry
U-DEC · 2023-08-19
W
Phil Rowe
S-DEC · 2023-06-24
Yaroslav Amosov
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Yaroslav Amosov
72% · Decision
  • Amosov's undefeated record (27-0) and Bellator championship pedigree vs Magny's recent KO losses
  • Magny's 54% takedown defense vulnerability against elite wrestling
  • Age and mileage factor - Magny at 37 with extensive UFC wars vs fresh 31-year-old champion
  • Magny's negative striking differential and 51% striking defense create openings
Write-up

While Amosov lacks UFC data, he enters as an undefeated Bellator champion (27-0) with elite wrestling credentials. Magny's recent form shows vulnerability to power strikers (KO losses in 2 of last 3), and his 54% takedown defense against 2.15 takedowns per fight suggests defensive wrestling issues. Amosov's sambo background and championship experience should allow him to control positioning against Magny's volume-based approach. Magny's 46% striking accuracy and negative strike differential (-2.48 absorbed vs 3.44 landed) indicate defensive liabilities that a fresh, elite competitor can exploit.

GPT
Yaroslav Amosov
74% · Decision
  • Magny's historically exploitable takedown defense and issues against strong top-control wrestlers
  • Amosov's proven world-class wrestling, chain takedowns, and ability to hold dominant positions over five rounds in Bellator
  • Magny's durability, defensive grappling, and cardio that typically allow him to survive and force decisions even in losing matchups
Write-up

Amosov's elite wrestling, top control, and physical strength should consistently beat Magny's clinch-and-volume game over three rounds. Magny's length, cardio, and veteran savvy make him durable and hard to finish, but his historically average takedown defense and tendency to be controlled by strong wrestlers align poorly against Amosov's pressure style and chain wrestling.